NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	4.8 [878]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +9.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.0 [1226]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -13.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	5	60%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	20	56%	0.06	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.05	0.03	17	55%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	10	60%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	5	44%	-0.02	5	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.07	-0.04	15	66%	0.20	7	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	14	72%	0.15	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	50%	-0.05
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	10	15%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	23.6	16.8	29.2	2.7	39.2	136.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.3%

LAC -7.2%

MEM +9.0%

MEM +13.3%

MEM +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.3	16.2	15.6	86.7	97.9	104.4
season	15.2	17.1		103.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	14.3	12.1	11.7	13.3
MEM	17.2	15.1	17.4	15.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-14	18	9.0	13.8	-4.81	15.0	16.4	-1.38
James Singleton	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-10	10	0.0	13.5	-13.45	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Quinton Ross	25	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-2	-6	13.8	13.1	0.70	19.1	15.2	3.93
Corey Maggette	54	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	13.1	13.6	-0.58	14.0	18.8	-4.86
Shaun Livingston	64	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-11	12	12.6	14.6	-1.99	15.0	18.6	-3.62
Cuttino Mobley	33	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	3	-16	15.7	12.1	3.54	16.8	16.0	0.86
Sam Cassell	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-9	8	13.4	13.0	0.42	16.8	14.5	2.25
Elton Brand	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	12.9	15.7	-2.78	15.4	20.6	-5.18
Chris Kaman	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	2	-14	14.2	11.0	3.21	18.2	10.3	7.90
Vladimir Radmanovic	75	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.2	13.7	-0.55	16.3	16.1	0.20

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-5	20	16.3	15.6	0.75	13.3	13.3	-0.02
Mike Miller	71	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-3	16	14.9	19.8	-4.93	12.8	15.0	-2.28
Eddie Jones	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	6	-2	16.4	15.9	0.43	12.6	15.1	-2.49
Chucky Atkins	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	2	6	16.2	16.3	-0.10	12.9	13.9	-1.01
Lorenzen Wright	51	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	1	8	17.2	15.1	2.10	14.4	12.0	2.40
Shane Battier	83	83	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	11	-12	16.2	16.3	-0.06	13.1	14.5	-1.36
Bobby Jackson	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	8	-6	16.3	16.2	0.10	13.9	12.9	1.01
Dahntay Jones	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	17.2	15.8	1.37	15.1	12.6	2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, NJN 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.94,0.81,0.9,0.94,1,1	95.1%
MIL 101, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 115, TOR 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.99,1	94.9%