NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	5.1 [779]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +5.2%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	1.2 [1182]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -17.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Harvey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Emanual Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Dan Dickau	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	26	56%	0.07	7	-0.13	9	100%	0.05
Jason Terry	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	20	48%	-0.05	3	-0.12	4	100%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	72%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	62%	0.08	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.05	13	54%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	54%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	23.8	14.6	28.2	1.8	34.2	128.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +11.3%

NJN +11.6%

NJN +15.7%

NJN +12.0%

ATL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	15.5	92.2	104.0	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		99.5	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		96.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.4	13.0	14.3	13.4	14.2
NJN	13.6	15.8	12.4	14.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-5	-1	13.9	14.3	-0.43	16.6	13.7	2.89
Emanual Davis	33	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-6	1	15.0	13.9	1.09	15.0	13.7	1.36
Theo Ratliff	43	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-7	3	13.8	14.6	-0.81	15.0	13.4	1.65
Antonio Harvey	21	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-1	-9	15.3	14.0	1.32	14.2	14.1	0.09
Darvin Ham	50	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	15.2	13.3	1.93	13.1	15.0	-1.93
Alan Henderson	90	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-6	1	13.7	18.5	-4.83	14.2	13.6	0.56
Jason Terry	87	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-6	1	14.3	13.9	0.43	13.7	16.6	-2.89
Ira Newble	79	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	0	-11	14.4	13.8	0.58	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Glenn Robinson	92	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-5	-1	13.9	17.7	-3.84	13.9	15.7	-1.78

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	0	11	13.5	15.5	-1.95	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Jason Kidd	76	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	13.4	16.4	-3.01	14.5	13.4	1.13
Dikembe Mutombo	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	5	1	14.5	13.7	0.85	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Aaron Williams	41	39	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	-5	21	13.4	14.7	-1.30	15.6	13.4	2.19
Kenyon Martin	71	74	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	9	-7	14.0	14.5	-0.51	13.9	15.2	-1.35
Lucious Harris	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	4	3	14.2	14.1	0.18	15.9	13.1	2.79
Kerry Kittles	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	13	-15	14.2	13.9	0.30	13.0	16.6	-3.56
Rodney Rogers	40	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	11	-11	14.3	14.0	0.35	15.1	13.6	1.54
Tamar Slay	19	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	4	3	16.5	13.6	2.94	13.8	14.3	-0.49
Jason Collins	28	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	13	-15	16.1	13.4	2.77	13.0	14.7	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.94,0.81,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAC 85, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.96,1,1	95.1%
DEN 103, LAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%