NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	7.2 [410]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +15.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	5.2 [496]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -18.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	13	68%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.03	9	67%	0.03	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Keith McLeod	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Deron Williams	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	13	42%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	10	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	12	71%	0.27	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	46%	0.06	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0,0,-0.03,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	39%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	16	36%	-0.12	2	-0.04	10	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.4	15.8	25.2	2.5	39.3	135.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +17.7%

MEM +10.4%

MEM +18.2%

MEM +2.3%

MEM +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.7	16.7	15.6	96.6	105.9	104.4
season	17.0	17.1		101.7	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		100.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	15.7	20.4	14.3	16.7
MEM	17.7	16.4	18.5	15.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	25	25	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-14	22	15.4	17.3	-1.89	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Devin Brown	29	29	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-6	6	16.8	16.7	0.07	15.8	17.2	-1.49
Jarron Collins	23	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	0	-6	15.6	17.2	-1.55	16.7	16.7	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	16.8	16.3	0.52	16.5	18.4	-1.95
Matt Harpring	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	16.9	15.8	1.06	17.4	12.8	4.55
Andrei Kirilenko	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-3	0	16.5	18.1	-1.58	16.7	17.0	-0.31
Carlos Boozer	74	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	1	-8	17.1	14.7	2.42	16.8	16.3	0.51
Deron Williams	62	60	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	8	-22	17.3	15.4	1.89	17.2	15.7	1.50

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	60	63	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-9	24	16.5	17.2	-0.65	16.8	16.6	0.17
Pau Gasol	76	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	1	4	16.8	15.9	0.95	16.8	16.0	0.83
Jake Tsakalidis	36	40	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	2	2	17.3	16.3	0.93	17.5	16.1	1.49
Eddie Jones	61	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	16.7	16.9	-0.24	16.8	16.7	0.09
Shane Battier	55	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	3	0	16.4	17.4	-1.02	17.1	16.1	0.98
Mike Miller	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	10	-14	15.9	18.4	-2.52	15.4	19.3	-3.90
Lorenzen Wright	36	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	18.2	15.7	2.52	17.6	16.1	1.52
Dahntay Jones	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	3	0	14.9	16.9	-2.06	17.6	16.7	0.97
Hakim Warrick	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	5	-4	17.4	16.6	0.71	14.6	17.0	-2.43
Bobby Jackson	25	24	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	15	-24	17.2	16.5	0.65	16.6	16.8	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.7,0.9,0.96,1	92.5%
POR 79, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.94,0.99,1	92.1%
HOU 94, NOK 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.83,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.97,1	92.0%