NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	7.2 [415]		MVP	Ronald Murray (CLE): +17.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	28.0 [86]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -25.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	8	74%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.02	0.17	-0.12	0.02	15	68%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.05,-0.03,0.08,-0.26	0.05	-0.31	-0.00	33	52%	-0.18	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	0.01	16	52%	0.18	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.09
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	-0.00	0.03	16	68%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	24	50%	0.18	7	-0.33	10	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.5	35.2	16.8	30.2	2.8	38.0	150.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +47.9%

CLE +6.8%

CLE +18.8%

LAL -29.4%

CLE +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.6	103.3	104.3	104.4
season	15.6	16.2		106.2	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	13.8	16.1	17.6	15.3
CLE	17.3	14.4	15.2	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	26	25	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.08	14	-15	29	13.7	15.9	-2.19	15.2	16.3	-1.15
Devean George	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	3	-7	10.7	15.9	-5.17	12.4	16.5	-4.13
Sasha Vujacic	30	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-2	3	15.5	15.2	0.29	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Brian Cook	27	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	5	-11	16.9	14.6	2.24	16.9	15.6	1.23
Luke Walton	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-6	11	15.1	15.6	-0.58	16.1	15.8	0.27
Lamar Odom	91	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-3	5	15.4	3.0	12.44	16.0	16.0	0.00
Kobe Bryant	85	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-3	5	15.4	14.1	1.26	16.1	14.8	1.25
Kwame Brown	66	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	14	-29	15.9	13.7	2.19	16.3	15.2	1.15
Smush Parker	72	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.52	-4	3	-7	15.2	15.8	-0.63	16.1	15.6	0.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	62	62	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.49	10	-9	19	15.7	16.7	-1.04	16.0	13.8	2.23
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	65	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.13	18	-17	35	15.8	16.4	-0.54	16.3	12.9	3.47
LeBron James	90	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	1	-1	15.9	18.5	-2.56	15.3	15.0	0.31
Drew Gooden	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	-6	13	16.5	15.2	1.28	16.1	14.0	2.14
Eric Snow	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.59	-6	7	-13	17.2	13.6	3.61	15.7	14.6	1.04
Ira Newble	0	1	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	1	-1	0.0	16.0	-16.00	3.0	15.4	-12.44
Sasha Pavlovic	21	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	-1	3	13.9	16.6	-2.78	13.7	15.8	-2.06
Damon Jones	41	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	4	-7	16.0	16.0	-0.09	14.5	16.0	-1.48
Donyell Marshall	38	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	15.9	16.1	-0.13	14.2	16.1	-1.82
Anderson Varejao	24	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.35	-18	19	-37	15.4	16.2	-0.85	12.8	16.2	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.12,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 115, MIA 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.33,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	91.5%
UTA 86, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.27,1	90.6%
SAC 97, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.31,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.25,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.74,1	90.3%