NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	6.8 [469]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +33.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	5.6 [464]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (WAS): -22.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.33	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.22	0.11	0.00	23	70%	0.37	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.20	0.13	0.04	21	70%	0.35	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Donell Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	45%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	8	37%	-0.06	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.18	0.01	10	67%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.13	-0.01	6	100%	0.31	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.03	22	72%	0.41	6	-0.18	10	70%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	64%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	6	54%	0.01	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	28.1	16.7	29.3	2.6	37.2	138.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +40.1%

MEM +19.4%

MEM +4.7%

WAS -11.7%

WAS -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.6	108.9	120.0	104.4
season	15.1	17.1		107.4	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	18.1	15.1	12.8	15.0
MEM	19.5	17.1	14.9	16.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	43	44	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-15	20	16.0	14.1	1.92	18.3	15.7	2.62
Brendan Haywood	23	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-13	16	14.3	15.3	-0.94	18.1	16.6	1.58
Donell Taylor	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.10	-2	-8	6	19.6	14.5	5.01	20.7	16.5	4.12
Etan Thomas	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-8	6	17.5	12.7	4.72	17.3	16.6	0.71
Jared Jeffries	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	14.0	17.4	-3.46	16.9	17.1	-0.17
Antawn Jamison	88	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	14.7	31.0	-16.32	17.0	15.7	1.33
Antonio Daniels	61	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	0	-10	15.7	13.7	1.95	15.9	19.2	-3.33
Gilbert Arenas	86	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	3	-16	14.6	24.5	-9.90	16.6	24.7	-8.16
Michael Ruffin	34	32	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	5	-20	12.8	16.4	-3.57	15.7	17.7	-1.97

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	72	72	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.26	28	-18	46	16.6	18.4	-1.79	14.5	17.3	-2.79
Pau Gasol	77	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.29	14	-4	18	16.8	18.0	-1.22	14.4	18.4	-4.01
Chucky Atkins	54	54	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-5	20	16.6	17.5	-0.91	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Shane Battier	76	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	0	10	17.1	16.0	1.13	14.6	17.5	-2.83
Mike Miller	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	3	4	16.4	17.5	-1.11	15.5	14.6	0.93
Hakim Warrick	40	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	7	-4	15.4	18.2	-2.85	16.1	14.2	1.99
Lorenzen Wright	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	21.0	16.8	4.23	25.7	14.5	11.20
Jake Tsakalidis	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	13	-16	19.2	16.0	3.15	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Bobby Jackson	41	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.02	-10	20	-30	17.5	16.5	1.07	14.7	15.3	-0.53
Dahntay Jones	14	14	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.12	-12	22	-34	19.5	16.5	3.01	18.7	14.4	4.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.57,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.93,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, NOH 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,1	92.0%
NYK 96, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.37,0.34,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.99,1	91.1%
DEN 103, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.7,0.9,0.96,1	91.1%