NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	6.7 [463]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +28.3%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	7.0 [404]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -15.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.10	-0.02	12	56%	0.19	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	11	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	12	73%	0.12	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	20	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.24	0.09	0.05	12	87%	0.34	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	8	67%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	13	53%	0.11	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	79%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	22%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	13	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	11	37%	-0.08	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	33.3	15.6	26.5	2.6	35.3	140.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +6.5%

ATL +7.0%

ATL +12.2%

ATL +21.0%

ATL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.1	107.9	115.7	104.2
season	16.1	14.9		98.5	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	15.1	18.8	15.5	16.4
ATL	15.7	16.2	14.8	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Larkin	56	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-3	-1	16.6	16.2	0.40	15.1	17.4	-2.36
Quincy Acy	23	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.23	-10	3	-13	19.3	15.4	3.97	15.3	16.2	-0.85
Cleanthony Early	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	1	-9	18.1	15.9	2.19	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Jason Smith	20	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-4	1	18.6	15.8	2.83	14.8	16.3	-1.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	37	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	17.2	15.8	1.44	15.4	16.4	-0.98
Tim Hardaway Jr.	47	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-14	21	14.6	18.5	-3.88	16.8	15.0	1.78
Samuel Dalembert	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-6	5	15.6	17.4	-1.78	16.4	15.5	0.91
Carmelo Anthony	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-8	9	15.5	19.8	-4.37	16.4	14.3	2.08
Iman Shumpert	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-4	1	16.8	15.6	1.22	16.5	14.7	1.84
J.R. Smith	62	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	2	-11	16.1	17.0	-0.91	15.9	16.0	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pero Antic	32	34	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.14	21	-14	35	14.1	17.0	-2.96	17.8	15.5	2.25
Paul Millsap	69	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-2	11	15.8	16.3	-0.51	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Kyle Korver	69	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	16.3	14.7	1.55	16.4	16.3	0.11
DeMarre Carroll	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	9	-11	16.6	14.8	1.76	15.1	18.8	-3.64
Jeff Teague	65	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	6	-5	16.2	15.3	0.91	15.8	18.1	-2.30
Shelvin Mack	9	9	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	2	3	12.9	16.3	-3.41	17.9	16.2	1.65
Thabo Sefolosha	29	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	2	3	15.4	16.2	-0.75	17.9	15.6	2.35
Dennis Schroder	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	3	1	15.1	16.6	-1.54	17.8	15.4	2.36
Mike Scott	20	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	9	-11	16.3	15.8	0.51	16.7	16.3	0.43
Al Horford	57	55	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.15	-14	21	-35	17.0	14.1	2.96	15.5	17.8	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.37,0.34,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.92,1	92.4%
GSW 108, NOH 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,1	91.9%
POR 89, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.91,1	91.3%