NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	4.9 [853]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +5.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.5 [998]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -14.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ha Seung-Jin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	3	150%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	14	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.06
Viktor Khryapa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	10	28%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.03
Steve Blake	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	9	28%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	12	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	21	45%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	81%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.15	-0.03	0.11	19	69%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	41%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.6	26.5	16.5	27.7	0.8	32.3	128.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.1%

LAL +8.9%

LAL +6.3%

POR -10.3%

LAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.6	88.2	106.5	104.4
season	16.6	15.6		99.4	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	14.8	17.5	14.4	15.8
LAL	14.3	15.8	13.8	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-17	17	12.2	16.5	-4.31	18.5	14.5	3.98
Ha Seung-Jin	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-16	15	16.7	15.5	1.17	15.3	15.2	0.06
Travis Outlaw	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-10	3	14.6	16.2	-1.58	15.8	15.0	0.75
Sebastian Telfair	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-11	5	14.5	16.8	-2.24	16.0	14.6	1.34
Jarrett Jack	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-12	7	14.5	16.7	-2.15	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Viktor Khryapa	35	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-10	3	14.8	16.3	-1.57	15.4	15.1	0.36
Zach Randolph	55	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-10	3	16.8	14.2	2.61	15.2	15.3	-0.15
Steve Blake	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-7	-3	17.3	14.2	3.12	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Ruben Patterson	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-5	-7	16.4	15.1	1.33	14.4	16.1	-1.78
Juan Dixon	57	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-4	-9	16.2	15.0	1.27	15.2	15.2	0.02
Darius Miles	82	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	0	-17	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.8	17.8	-2.97

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	78	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.03	17	0	17	14.5	19.1	-4.59	16.2	12.9	3.29
Smush Parker	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-6	29	14.8	16.6	-1.85	15.8	15.6	0.17
Kobe Bryant	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	-1	19	14.9	17.5	-2.54	16.4	10.6	5.80
Brian Cook	42	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	11	-5	14.9	15.5	-0.57	16.4	15.2	1.23
Kwame Brown	54	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	8	1	14.8	15.8	-1.00	16.3	14.9	1.41
Devean George	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	4	9	15.3	15.0	0.32	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Chris Mihm	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	13	-9	15.8	15.0	0.85	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Sasha Vujacic	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	22	-27	16.8	14.4	2.34	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Luke Walton	26	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.12	0	17	-17	18.2	14.0	4.19	13.4	16.6	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 67, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
UTA 91, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%