NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	2.9 [1214]		MVP	Marcus Banks (MIN): +10.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Orien Greene (BOS): -7.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Michael Olowokandi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	12	42%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	23	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.02
Orien Greene	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	5	30%	-0.03	6	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.06	8	80%	0.11	1	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	62%	0.04	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.01	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	30.0	15.4	27.3	2.5	28.6	130.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.9%

MIN +4.9%

MIN +1.9%

MIN +4.5%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.6	92.4	119.6	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		103.3	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		103.1	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	17.3	15.2	17.1	15.9
MIN	15.1	17.0	14.8	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	16.2	15.9	0.29	13.5	15.7	-2.26
Michael Olowokandi	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-19	13	20.6	15.5	5.05	12.6	15.6	-3.06
Brian Scalabrine	27	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	-15	5	15.5	16.1	-0.54	13.6	16.1	-2.42
Tony Allen	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-17	9	17.3	15.4	1.93	14.4	15.7	-1.35
Kendrick Perkins	37	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-18	11	15.9	15.9	-0.02	16.7	14.5	2.27
Raef LaFrentz	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-18	11	15.0	17.2	-2.14	16.3	14.0	2.35
Orien Greene	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-12	-1	15.9	15.9	0.05	13.5	16.3	-2.77
Delonte West	61	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-13	1	15.9	15.9	-0.05	16.3	13.5	2.77
Al Jefferson	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.31	-20	-5	-15	16.3	15.1	1.22	14.7	16.6	-1.83
Wally Szczerbiak	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-7	-11	15.6	16.9	-1.24	15.9	13.6	2.24
Paul Pierce	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.22	-23	-2	-21	15.7	17.0	-1.31	15.6	14.6	1.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	8	9	15.6	15.0	0.57	16.0	15.7	0.38
Ricky Davis	61	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	12	1	16.5	13.3	3.19	15.5	16.7	-1.23
Trenton Hassell	59	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	10	5	15.3	15.6	-0.32	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Mark Blount	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.29	19	6	13	15.0	16.0	-1.04	16.4	15.2	1.25
Marcus Banks	41	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.31	19	6	13	14.7	16.0	-1.25	16.7	15.3	1.37
Eddie Griffin	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	19	-13	16.0	15.0	1.04	15.2	16.4	-1.25
Justin Reed	36	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.18	14	11	3	13.9	16.4	-2.44	17.2	15.1	2.14
Rashad McCants	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	17	-9	15.2	15.5	-0.27	16.9	15.4	1.45
Troy Hudson	17	18	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	18	-11	15.4	15.4	0.01	16.7	15.7	1.02
Mark Madsen	32	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	17	-9	15.0	15.6	-0.57	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Marko Jaric	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	26	-27	16.2	14.9	1.32	14.6	16.7	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
GSW 89, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%