NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	81		Excitement	2.6 [1225]		MVP	Dwight Howard (HOU): +16.1%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	1.0 [1120]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -10.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	82%	0.09	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	8	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	-0.10	13	23%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	11	28%	-0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	-0.01	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	13	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	18	65%	0.17	2	-0.01	13	62%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	0.01	0.06	5	114%	0.13	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	0%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	32%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	15	56%	0.04	8	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.8	30.4	17.0	27.2	3.3	30.6	137.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.1%

HOU +1.3%

SAS -3.0%

SAS -1.9%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.1	83.5	99.0	104.2
season	15.4	14.3		106.9	105.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		103.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	19.3	16.0	12.9	12.2	14.8
HOU	15.9	12.3	14.3	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	33	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-23	29	12.5	16.0	-3.58	15.2	14.2	1.02
Boris Diaw	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.16	-9	-8	-1	14.2	15.4	-1.19	15.1	14.1	1.04
Jeff Ayres	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-15	13	13.8	15.8	-1.95	15.0	14.2	0.82
Cory Joseph	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-17	17	12.6	16.8	-4.15	13.7	15.3	-1.58
Kyle Anderson	64	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-14	11	13.9	16.6	-2.67	15.0	13.6	1.41
Matt Bonner	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-6	-5	17.5	13.6	3.84	14.6	14.6	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-5	-7	16.0	13.2	2.76	15.3	13.6	1.76
Aron Baynes	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-4	-9	15.3	13.9	1.34	13.9	15.8	-1.89
Danny Green	50	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-3	-11	15.6	14.0	1.54	13.9	15.3	-1.46
Tony Parker	51	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.28	-27	10	-37	16.8	12.6	4.15	14.1	15.1	-1.03

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.41	33	-16	49	15.0	13.9	1.10	16.0	12.5	3.53
Donatas Motiejunas	51	49	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.30	25	-8	33	14.5	14.6	-0.10	16.4	13.2	3.26
Isaiah Canaan	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	1	15	14.4	14.8	-0.35	16.6	12.8	3.76
James Harden	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.36	25	-8	33	15.3	13.2	2.08	16.0	12.8	3.20
Trevor Ariza	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	1	15	15.3	13.4	1.87	15.3	13.9	1.48
Kostas Papanikolaou	56	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	17	-17	14.8	14.3	0.57	13.5	16.5	-2.97
Jason Terry	43	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	14	-11	14.6	14.5	0.09	13.3	16.0	-2.76
Troy Daniels	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	24	-31	13.2	15.2	-1.97	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Clint Capela	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	12.6	14.9	-2.33	13.1	15.1	-1.95
Francisco Garcia	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	14.0	14.7	-0.66	12.6	15.4	-2.78
Nick Johnson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	11.9	14.8	-2.94	11.7	15.1	-3.34
Joey Dorsey	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	11.9	14.8	-2.94	11.7	15.1	-3.34
Tarik Black	19	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.35	-14	31	-45	14.8	14.5	0.33	12.0	15.5	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, LAL 132	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
PHX 101, SAC 133	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%