inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 78 Excitement4.0 [1034] MVPRaef LaFrentz (BOS): +23.6%
Boston Celtics 91 Comeback1.0 [1176] LVPKendrick Perkins (BOS): -8.7%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Andersen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02262%0.0000.00475%-0.00
J.R. Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.10776%0.001-0.00771%-0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jackson Vroman-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05217%-0.0010.00250%-0.00
Rasual Butler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.110.01-0.07717%-0.0310.0040%-0.03
Speedy Claxton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.02638%-0.012-0.021100%0.00
Chris Paul-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.02-0.07740%0.044-0.086100%0.03
Desmond Mason-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031036%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
David West-0.060,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.002148%-0.012-0.05250%-0.01
P.J. Brown-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01631%-0.041-0.03475%-0.00
Kirk Snyder-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.180.060.018112%0.251-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.170.090.062068%0.252-0.04786%0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.02-0.04540%0.0500.0000%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00844%0.0000.002100%0.01
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04150%0.0020.002100%0.00
Justin Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.001033%-0.0610.001100%-0.00
Orien Greene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0220%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.011343%-0.023-0.061173%-0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.04729%-0.003-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.51.629.215.523.22.028.2127.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +55.1%
NOK -1.0%
NOK -4.4%
NOK -0.6%
BOS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKBOSNBANOKBOSNBA
this game15.215.115.682.195.8104.4
season16.314.8101.2103.3
opponent15.815.3104.8104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOK14.115.117.114.815.2
BOS14.114.313.618.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Speedy Claxton46470.05-0.550.590.11-2-11914.615.9-1.3114.615.6-0.99
Chris Andersen39390.04-0.540.58-0.198-212914.415.8-1.3714.815.2-0.39
Arvydas Macijauskas1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.269-223112.515.6-3.1419.414.44.97
Brandon Bass1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-182313.315.5-2.2319.214.54.65
J.R. Smith2221-0.01-0.490.49-0.3010-233314.815.4-0.5518.814.04.73
Jackson Vroman2221-0.01-0.490.49-0.3010-233314.815.4-0.5518.814.04.73
Rasual Butler5048-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-7115.514.90.6315.614.51.11
Kirk Snyder4545-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-1-1115.614.90.6815.314.90.37
David West6061-0.45-0.05-0.400.20-229-3115.614.51.1113.817.3-3.50
P.J. Brown4445-0.46-0.04-0.430.03-174-2116.214.41.8815.614.61.04
Desmond Mason6364-0.500.00-0.500.20-2411-3515.414.90.5113.518.2-4.68
Chris Paul6161-0.530.03-0.560.18-2411-3515.714.51.1613.318.2-4.83

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Davis73730.53-0.030.55-0.1824-113514.517.1-2.6316.212.23.92
Raef LaFrentz51500.490.010.490.0216-31913.516.8-3.2916.014.41.68
Kendrick Perkins67650.470.030.43-0.0317-42114.915.4-0.4515.215.20.01
Delonte West61580.420.080.35-0.1620-72714.316.5-2.2715.814.41.33
Paul Pierce62620.410.090.31-0.0014-11513.917.2-3.2815.814.21.62
Orien Greene27280.080.42-0.350.10-114-1516.314.61.6615.115.3-0.19
Tony Allen42420.070.43-0.360.16-316-1916.314.12.2613.716.5-2.82
Brian Scalabrine28300.030.47-0.430.15-417-2115.414.90.4515.215.2-0.01
Al Jefferson44450.010.49-0.490.09-316-1916.813.53.2914.416.0-1.68
Marcus Banks12130.000.50-0.500.26-922-3119.414.44.9712.515.7-3.13
Justin Reed890.000.50-0.500.18-619-2518.514.83.7412.315.5-3.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 82, DEN 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
PHI 92, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
GSW 106, DEN 1220.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.1%