inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 82 Excitement4.4 [935] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +11.5%
Denver Nuggets 102 Comeback1.2 [995] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -12.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.01-0.03669%0.072-0.014100%0.01
Shawne Williams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.04950%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011050%-0.0100.00450%-0.03
James Ennis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01325%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.031248%0.021-0.03560%-0.00
Justin Hamilton-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Granger-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00636%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00833%-0.052-0.0620%-0.04
Dwyane Wade-0.130,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.03-0.041531%-0.083-0.052100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.020.01880%0.141-0.02475%0.00
Erick Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02769%0.0500.00250%-0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.01-0.06631%0.0500.001100%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02954%0.0300.00683%-0.01
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00760%0.061-0.031100%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.03567%0.021-0.022100%-0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.011750%0.021-0.0300%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01550%0.012-0.0420%-0.02
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.010.03744%-0.041-0.03250%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011234%-0.032-0.04560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.830.515.829.33.330.7137.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +33.1%
DEN +5.6%
DEN +12.5%
MIA -1.2%
MIA -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADENNBAMIADENNBA
this game17.414.915.192.1114.6104.2
season16.014.6102.4103.4
opponent15.315.3106.6105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA19.018.715.716.717.4
DEN16.114.913.715.314.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hassan Whiteside12110.00-0.500.50-0.186-263216.117.6-1.5514.715.0-0.23
Shabazz Napier2523-0.04-0.460.43-0.133-232617.517.40.0716.014.61.38
James Ennis2322-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-242816.917.6-0.6915.614.70.87
Danny Granger4141-0.09-0.410.330.15-8-12416.518.2-1.7914.115.6-1.50
Udonis Haslem1818-0.09-0.410.320.17-9-11216.717.6-0.9515.614.80.85
Mario Chalmers2829-0.16-0.340.180.25-14-6-816.018.1-2.1315.414.70.66
Shawne Williams4544-0.21-0.290.070.14-12-8-416.318.6-2.3015.714.11.62
Luol Deng4748-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-8-12418.716.02.7514.715.2-0.58
Norris Cole5253-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.00-12-8-417.617.20.3114.415.7-1.28
Justin Hamilton4242-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.02-12-8-418.816.22.5714.415.4-1.09
Chris Bosh6162-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-15-5-1017.816.61.2514.815.2-0.36
Dwyane Wade5152-0.47-0.03-0.430.21-233-2617.916.81.0715.114.70.35

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson56550.54-0.040.58-0.021911814.515.7-1.2618.415.92.55
Timofey Mozgov48470.390.110.270.06119214.415.6-1.2618.016.81.26
Alonzo Gee38390.340.160.18-0.131641215.214.70.4916.817.9-1.17
JJ Hickson44430.280.220.050.04812-415.014.90.1317.917.00.88
Arron Afflalo52510.230.27-0.050.08515-1015.114.70.3918.216.41.80
Wilson Chandler45440.220.28-0.060.05614-814.415.4-0.9918.016.91.13
Gary Harris43440.210.29-0.07-0.17137615.014.90.1316.518.3-1.74
Kenneth Faried40420.180.32-0.14-0.14119215.414.50.9416.917.9-1.03
Darrell Arthur36350.160.34-0.19-0.25146815.614.51.0517.317.5-0.28
Jusuf Nurkic10110.000.50-0.500.12-424-2813.115.2-2.0615.717.7-1.94
Erick Green3334-0.040.54-0.58-0.07119-1815.714.51.2615.918.4-2.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 78, BOS 910.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
CHH 87, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,194.9%
NJN 91, IND 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%