NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	6.4 [535]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +45.5%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.0 [1210]		LVP	Luke Jackson (CLE): -20.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.46	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.34	0.11	0.00	28	75%	0.50	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	20	59%	0.19	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.04	0.02	6	71%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	32%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.18	-0.02	10	85%	0.37	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.02	-0.00	14	82%	0.20	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.11	0.03	13	62%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	11	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	21	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	0.00	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	26.4	15.7	23.1	2.4	30.5	126.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.2%

CLE -3.4%

CLE -6.8%

PHX +18.5%

CLE -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	17.9	14.7	15.6	120.5	129.2	104.4
season	16.2	13.8		105.6	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.7	18.5	15.1	19.7	17.9
PHX	12.1	14.3	15.5	17.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	13	13	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-17	25	11.4	19.0	-7.62	18.0	14.1	3.88
Mike Wilks	34	34	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.14	10	-19	29	17.5	18.1	-0.56	15.5	14.2	1.32
Luke Jackson	35	36	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-15	21	16.3	18.9	-2.69	14.5	14.8	-0.36
Anderson Varejao	1	1	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-11	13	25.0	17.8	7.21	24.0	14.6	9.42
Donyell Marshall	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-8	7	16.8	19.3	-2.58	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Drew Gooden	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	1	-11	18.4	17.5	0.87	13.1	15.9	-2.77
LeBron James	79	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	17.8	18.3	-0.51	14.8	13.7	1.03
Damon Jones	62	61	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.11	-19	10	-29	18.9	15.5	3.32	14.7	14.7	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.15	-19	10	-29	19.1	14.4	4.66	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Eric Snow	63	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	8	-25	18.6	16.0	2.62	14.7	14.8	-0.10

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-6	21	14.6	14.8	-0.13	18.6	16.1	2.55
Steve Nash	68	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-2	13	14.3	16.0	-1.66	17.5	19.0	-1.48
Shawn Marion	85	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-2	13	14.8	13.2	1.50	17.8	19.2	-1.44
Boris Diaw	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-4	17	13.9	16.6	-2.68	18.1	17.2	0.91
Raja Bell	81	80	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	3	3	14.7	14.4	0.34	17.2	24.7	-7.56
Eddie House	33	32	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	6	-3	16.0	13.9	2.04	19.0	17.2	1.77
Leandro Barbosa	33	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	13	-17	14.8	14.6	0.16	19.6	16.8	2.77
James Jones	21	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	19	-29	15.9	14.3	1.60	14.2	18.9	-4.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.7%
MIA 103, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.99,1	92.6%
MIA 82, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.79,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.88,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.91,1	92.5%