NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	103		Excitement	6.5 [528]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +27.4%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	1.1 [787]		LVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): -13.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.22	0.07	0.05	13	86%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	8	76%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	15	57%	0.05	3	-0.09	12	67%	-0.01
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	23%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
LeBron James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.08	0.04	-0.10	0.02	18	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	5	36%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.15	-0.00	13	66%	0.27	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	13	65%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.04	0.02	12	70%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	15	60%	0.13	6	-0.16	5	40%	-0.03
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	10	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	8%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	33.2	16.4	25.3	1.0	32.7	136.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.7%

HOU +4.4%

HOU +26.1%

MIA -25.7%

HOU +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	HOU	NBA	MIA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.1	110.8	112.8	105.2
season	15.6	14.3		109.7	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.4	13.6	17.5	18.6	15.6
HOU	15.4	14.6	14.4	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norris Cole	41	41	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.12	14	-17	31	14.4	16.6	-2.21	16.8	14.0	2.84
Chris Andersen	35	34	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.02	10	-13	23	16.2	15.2	1.00	17.3	14.0	3.23
Udonis Haslem	3	3	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-7	11	14.7	15.6	-0.97	7.7	15.5	-7.78
Ray Allen	46	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.40	11	-14	25	16.2	15.0	1.26	17.2	13.3	3.82
Michael Beasley	51	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-16	29	15.1	16.2	-1.07	16.7	13.3	3.46
Shane Battier	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	13	-29	16.2	15.1	1.07	13.3	16.7	-3.46
Mario Chalmers	48	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	12	-27	15.0	16.2	-1.24	13.3	17.3	-3.96
Dwyane Wade	71	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	16.6	12.5	4.06	14.7	17.0	-2.28
LeBron James	73	72	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.37	-15	12	-27	15.4	16.5	-1.14	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Chris Bosh	55	57	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.39	-17	14	-31	15.3	16.1	-0.85	14.4	16.5	-2.12

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	72	71	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.42	15	-12	27	14.9	16.3	-1.46	16.1	14.1	1.92
Terrence Jones	68	67	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.30	18	-15	33	14.3	17.5	-3.12	16.5	13.3	3.18
James Harden	76	76	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-11	25	15.5	13.9	1.62	15.8	14.5	1.31
Patrick Beverley	65	64	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.31	17	-14	31	14.4	17.0	-2.65	16.3	14.0	2.33
Chandler Parsons	77	76	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-7	17	14.4	18.6	-4.21	15.7	15.4	0.30
Jeremy Lin	29	29	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	17	-31	17.0	14.4	2.65	14.0	16.3	-2.33
Donatas Motiejunas	26	26	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.11	-15	18	-33	17.5	14.3	3.12	13.3	16.5	-3.18
Jordan Hamilton	35	35	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.08	-16	19	-35	16.2	14.6	1.59	14.5	16.3	-1.74
Omer Asik	22	21	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.01	-14	17	-31	16.3	14.9	1.46	14.8	15.8	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.96,1	93.0%
BKN 108, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.65,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.6,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.8%
CLE 106, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.6%