NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	85		Excitement	6.0 [616]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +13.2%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.4 [954]		LVP	Nick Collison (SEA): -14.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	23	53%	0.14	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.05	0.04	18	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	15	28%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	6	7%	-0.10	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	20	48%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	54%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	60%	0.09	4	-0.11	11	73%	-0.03
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	15	45%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.6	31.1	17.8	28.4	1.7	32.3	134.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.0%

SEA -0.8%

DET +19.5%

SEA -3.5%

DET +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	17.0	15.6	98.8	110.2	104.4
season	15.0	16.9		108.9	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.8		101.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.1	15.4	13.5	18.5	16.0
DET	15.6	15.9	18.4	18.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	14	12	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-20	28	14.7	16.3	-1.59	17.7	16.9	0.82
Damien Wilkins	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-14	16	15.6	16.1	-0.54	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Nick Collison	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-16	20	16.5	15.7	0.80	18.3	16.3	2.01
Ray Allen	71	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-8	4	15.4	19.3	-3.98	16.5	19.5	-3.00
Ronald Murray	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-8	4	15.9	16.4	-0.46	17.6	15.7	1.98
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	1	-14	16.2	15.9	0.38	16.6	17.5	-0.95
Reggie Evans	28	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-5	-2	16.5	15.8	0.62	18.0	16.5	1.50
Johan Petro	55	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	4	-20	15.7	16.6	-0.89	16.0	19.0	-2.97
Luke Ridnour	39	41	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.08	-16	4	-20	17.5	14.8	2.68	17.1	17.0	0.05
Rashard Lewis	74	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	2	-16	16.1	15.6	0.54	17.2	15.7	1.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	63	60	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-7	26	16.7	18.0	-1.28	16.5	14.9	1.61
Rasheed Wallace	72	70	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-2	16	16.3	20.4	-4.07	16.3	15.0	1.29
Ben Wallace	74	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-4	20	17.1	16.9	0.14	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Tayshaun Prince	70	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-2	16	17.2	16.4	0.76	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Chauncey Billups	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	-4	20	16.5	18.7	-2.24	16.1	15.9	0.13
Carlos Arroyo	22	20	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	16	-20	18.7	16.5	2.24	15.9	16.1	-0.13
Carlos Delfino	18	19	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	14	-16	16.4	17.2	-0.76	17.0	15.8	1.22
Antonio McDyess	30	30	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	18	-24	18.8	16.2	2.61	15.9	16.1	-0.17
Maurice Evans	25	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	19	-26	18.0	16.7	1.28	14.9	16.5	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DAL 105, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.8%
WAS 98, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.8%