NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	6.2 [536]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +13.1%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.7 [1090]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): -15.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Khalid Reeves	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	81%	0.08	2	-0.03	13	85%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	23	43%	-0.02	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Robert Pack	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	9	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Hubert Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	29	59%	0.19	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	48%	-0.01	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	7	42%	-0.04	3	-0.11	12	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.7	25.0	15.7	28.2	2.4	37.2	139.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.2%

CHI +19.1%

CHI +27.6%

DAL -20.0%

CHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.6	106.1	113.3	102.5
season	15.8	16.2		98.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		97.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	13.5	14.7	13.7	14.4
CHI	12.2	20.8	14.1	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	40	40	0.01	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-11	16	14.1	14.6	-0.47	16.8	13.5	3.36
A.C. Green	46	47	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.16	4	-10	14	14.0	14.8	-0.75	16.6	13.2	3.42
Khalid Reeves	49	48	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.32	9	-15	24	13.7	15.1	-1.41	16.5	13.2	3.26
Bubba Wells	7	8	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.06	0	-6	6	16.0	14.3	1.72	4.7	15.7	-10.98
Michael Finley	93	92	-0.44	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	14.2	18.0	-3.83	14.9	13.8	1.07
Robert Pack	52	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	7	-20	15.4	13.3	2.15	13.1	16.7	-3.63
Shawn Bradley	55	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	4	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.09	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Dennis Scott	90	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	14.1	17.2	-3.10	15.5	8.4	7.04
Hubert Davis	63	61	-0.56	0.05	-0.61	-0.18	-13	7	-20	15.2	13.0	2.16	13.0	17.9	-5.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	86	88	0.62	-0.11	0.73	0.21	14	-8	22	14.1	19.8	-5.69	14.6	12.5	2.09
Toni Kukoc	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-5	16	14.5	16.1	-1.63	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Dennis Rodman	84	82	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-2	10	15.3	12.0	3.31	14.6	13.6	0.98
Scott Burrell	60	59	0.44	0.07	0.38	0.03	14	-8	22	13.5	17.0	-3.53	15.4	12.9	2.48
Ron Harper	55	57	0.34	0.17	0.18	0.19	5	1	4	15.0	14.6	0.37	13.2	16.1	-2.90
Randy Brown	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	6	-6	14.0	15.3	-1.35	16.2	13.4	2.86
Jason Caffey	8	8	0.09	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	4	-2	14.2	14.9	-0.64	19.5	14.0	5.54
Steve Kerr	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.31	-9	15	-24	16.5	13.2	3.26	13.4	15.4	-2.04
Joe Kleine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	7.0	15.3	-8.26	5.6	14.9	-9.27
Bill Wennington	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	11	-16	16.7	14.3	2.37	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Jud Buechler	11	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	14	-22	21.6	14.0	7.66	13.8	14.5	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
IND 98, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	94.0%