NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	5.7 [651]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +15.4%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.6 [938]		LVP	Tony Delk (PHX): -21.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	18	57%	0.10	5	-0.13	11	100%	0.04
Elliot Perry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	16	54%	0.04	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	57%	0.02	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Mario Elie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	6	36%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Delk	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	13	49%	-0.08	5	-0.13	9	78%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.02	10	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	10	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	77%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	4	67%	0.07	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	19	59%	0.07	4	-0.11	13	77%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	6	54%	-0.01	5	-0.13	12	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.7	2.5	33.3	17.6	27.9	2.7	41.4	161.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.6%

UTA +20.7%

PHX -14.3%

UTA +16.4%

PHX -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	15.5	99.0	109.0	100.9
season	14.9	16.0		97.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.5	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.1	13.6	16.0	11.5	13.9
UTA	15.5	15.2	14.0	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-12	13	14.1	13.9	0.17	16.1	14.4	1.62
Elliot Perry	57	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	13.5	14.5	-1.00	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Shawn Marion	62	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	13.6	14.5	-0.94	16.0	13.1	2.84
Clifford Robinson	66	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	13.0	15.9	-2.94	14.6	15.8	-1.16
Rodney Rogers	80	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-7	3	13.7	14.8	-1.04	15.2	14.1	1.15
Mario Elie	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	0	-11	14.5	12.5	2.02	13.8	17.7	-3.92
Tony Delk	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	13.5	14.9	-1.41	15.4	14.2	1.19
Jake Tsakalidis	58	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	6	-23	15.9	11.2	4.70	15.1	14.8	0.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	75	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	1	9	13.4	19.8	-6.36	14.7	11.5	3.22
Greg Ostertag	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	2	7	16.7	13.0	3.77	13.4	14.6	-1.23
Jacque Vaughn	32	33	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	2	7	15.7	14.6	1.07	16.2	12.8	3.39
Bryon Russell	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	6	-1	16.2	13.6	2.64	14.1	13.7	0.36
Karl Malone	79	76	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	14.8	15.5	-0.68	13.2	16.3	-3.12
Danny Manning	15	18	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	5	1	13.5	15.2	-1.71	17.4	13.2	4.27
Donyell Marshall	74	70	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	7	-3	14.6	16.2	-1.62	13.0	16.2	-3.19
John Stockton	70	67	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	7	-3	14.5	16.1	-1.63	12.8	16.4	-3.63
Olden Polynice	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	6	-1	14.0	15.5	-1.54	15.6	13.1	2.53
DeShawn Stevenson	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	12	-13	20.3	14.6	5.68	11.0	14.1	-3.14
David Benoit	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	11	-11	20.4	14.6	5.85	12.3	14.1	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.4%
IND 83, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
VAN 91, LAL 103	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.0%