NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	6.0 [587]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +6.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	1.6 [534]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -12.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.06	15	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	15	80%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	17	54%	-0.03	4	-0.09	12	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	77%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	18	70%	0.11	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.05
Marcus Haislip	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	48%	-0.05	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	31.2	16.5	34.5	2.4	37.2	148.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.2%

MIL +5.3%

IND -5.9%

MIL +4.0%

MIL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.5	103.2	112.6	101.6
season	15.4	15.4		102.2	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	14.6	18.3	16.0	15.6
MIL	14.8	15.4	16.8	12.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Brewer	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	8.3	16.1	-7.77	5.5	15.3	-9.83
Jeff Foster	43	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-12	15	14.3	16.7	-2.31	15.3	14.2	1.08
Tim Hardaway	47	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-13	17	14.9	16.3	-1.42	13.7	15.7	-1.93
Reggie Miller	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-6	3	15.0	15.9	-0.85	15.3	14.5	0.88
Brad Miller	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-2	-5	15.3	15.7	-0.42	14.6	14.7	-0.13
Jonathan Bender	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-10	11	15.7	15.4	0.28	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Al Harrington	79	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-7	5	15.7	15.0	0.73	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Jamaal Tinsley	48	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	4	-17	16.3	14.9	1.42	15.7	13.7	1.93
Metta World Peace	61	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.02	-17	8	-25	16.2	14.5	1.78	14.7	14.6	0.09
Jermaine O'Neal	79	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	3	-15	16.5	11.4	5.02	15.2	11.7	3.51

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-7	23	14.9	14.3	0.60	16.2	13.9	2.32
Anthony Mason	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	2	5	15.6	13.5	2.08	16.9	13.7	3.17
Sam Cassell	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-2	13	14.1	17.4	-3.22	15.3	17.1	-1.76
Toni Kukoc	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	14.7	14.8	-0.11	16.2	14.9	1.27
Desmond Mason	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	3	3	14.1	16.2	-2.19	15.6	15.6	-0.05
Marcus Haislip	39	37	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	2	5	14.2	15.1	-0.94	14.3	16.4	-2.15
Tim Thomas	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	10	-11	16.1	13.9	2.25	16.1	15.3	0.74
Joel Przybilla	18	19	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.02	3	6	-3	14.9	14.7	0.23	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Michael Redd	43	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.37	-9	18	-27	15.5	14.1	1.43	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Dan Gadzuric	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	5.5	15.1	-9.61	6.0	16.0	-10.03
Ervin Johnson	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	11	-13	14.9	14.7	0.28	14.5	15.8	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,1	94.5%
IND 83, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%