inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 98 Excitement5.8 [645] MVPRicky Davis (CLE): +10.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 111 Comeback1.4 [893] LVPJarvis Hayes (WAS): -17.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Etan Thomas0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.01967%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Juan Dixon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.021148%0.0300.00367%-0.00
Steve Blake0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.01-0.031949%0.062-0.063100%0.02
Chris Whitney0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01410%-0.0700.00250%-0.02
Kwame Brown-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00544%-0.061-0.03650%-0.05
Gilbert Arenas-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.00-0.050.061756%-0.033-0.07580%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.170,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.06-0.060.062052%-0.045-0.13250%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ricky Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.10.100.050.070.021565%0.162-0.051080%0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.030.021363%0.0900.00475%0.00
Darius Miles0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.00-0.032159%0.154-0.092100%0.01
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
J.R. Bremer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01464%0.041-0.03667%-0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00275%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01531%-0.041-0.02367%-0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.10-0.040.011940%-0.072-0.08425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.726.814.825.32.533.5129.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +43.5%
CLE +10.1%
WAS -1.3%
CLE +0.2%
WAS -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game15.214.815.7102.1115.6100.5
season15.215.796.499.8
opponent15.515.3102.3102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.115.915.315.715.2
CLE15.316.113.514.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake1111-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-121118.314.83.4417.614.43.24
Jared Jeffries4747-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-161914.715.7-0.9915.014.60.37
Jarvis Hayes8183-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-9514.419.7-5.3414.218.6-4.45
Chris Whitney1314-0.18-0.320.130.02-7-6-117.214.92.3212.415.2-2.83
Larry Hughes7879-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-6-7114.020.7-6.6913.918.9-5.00
Juan Dixon3737-0.25-0.250.010.11-12-1-1115.814.90.9015.614.31.34
Etan Thomas5151-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-6-7116.114.31.8116.313.13.21
Gilbert Arenas5756-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.17-6-7115.015.6-0.6114.814.70.08
Kwame Brown4441-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.13-10-3-716.714.02.6415.814.01.80
Christian Laettner6161-0.620.12-0.74-0.15-163-1915.514.70.7714.115.9-1.71

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Boozer79800.55-0.050.600.0816-31914.217.5-3.3514.916.9-2.05
LeBron James90900.54-0.040.580.1314-11514.518.5-3.9815.117.5-2.42
Darius Miles91910.440.060.380.12112914.716.6-1.9315.019.2-4.19
DeSagana Diop31310.430.070.370.2958-318.113.24.9117.614.13.57
Ricky Davis81820.430.070.370.1794514.416.8-2.4015.116.1-0.99
Chris Mihm12120.190.31-0.11-0.0176115.014.70.2618.514.83.74
Zydrunas Ilgauskas43440.070.43-0.350.02211-913.915.5-1.5614.815.6-0.84
Kevin Ollie11110.020.48-0.46-0.01112-1117.614.43.2418.314.83.44
J.R. Bremer3028-0.080.58-0.65-0.2258-313.815.2-1.4113.016.1-3.15
Ira Newble1211-0.110.61-0.720.04-518-2317.914.33.6015.915.10.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 103, SAS 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.46,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,194.5%
TOR 98, NYK 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,194.1%
SEA 85, DET 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,193.8%