NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	3.5 [1122]		MVP	Marcus Banks (BOS): +10.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.6 [370]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -12.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Banks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	7	87%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	18	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	8	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	12	68%	0.09	6	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Justin Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.08	12	73%	0.09	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	19	67%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
James Singleton	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	62%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.20	-0.01	-0.07	16	31%	-0.05	6	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	29.1	17.7	26.1	1.5	27.5	130.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.0%

BOS +0.2%

BOS +4.8%

BOS +11.3%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.6	116.8	96.8	104.4
season	14.8	15.2		103.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.1	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	13.3	15.1	16.5	14.8
LAC	13.8	18.0	15.5	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	62	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.25	27	-8	35	14.0	16.5	-2.53	16.7	13.4	3.32
Ricky Davis	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	1	17	15.1	13.7	1.38	15.7	14.3	1.41
Marcus Banks	42	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	4	11	13.2	16.1	-2.94	16.4	14.7	1.72
Paul Pierce	73	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	6	7	14.5	16.0	-1.58	15.5	15.3	0.25
Mark Blount	54	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	12	-5	14.7	15.0	-0.30	14.4	17.0	-2.62
Justin Reed	34	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	13	-7	14.4	15.0	-0.61	15.6	15.4	0.23
Kendrick Perkins	27	28	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	13	-7	13.6	15.3	-1.73	16.9	14.9	2.00
Delonte West	53	51	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	15	-11	16.1	13.2	2.94	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Brian Scalabrine	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	19.4	14.6	4.82	8.5	15.8	-7.29
Ryan Gomes	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	19.4	14.6	4.82	8.5	15.8	-7.29
Orien Greene	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	19.4	14.6	4.82	8.5	15.8	-7.29
Al Jefferson	36	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	17	-15	16.2	14.0	2.15	15.6	15.4	0.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-20	21	8.8	15.9	-7.10	19.8	14.5	5.34
Walter McCarty	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-20	21	15.1	15.6	-0.52	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Chris Wilcox	10	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-14	9	17.7	15.2	2.48	18.6	14.3	4.30
James Singleton	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-12	5	15.2	16.5	-1.25	14.9	14.6	0.27
Yaroslav Korolev	11	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-9	-1	19.0	15.0	3.98	13.2	15.0	-1.87
Sam Cassell	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-7	-5	15.4	15.7	-0.36	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Shaun Livingston	40	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-5	-9	15.9	15.2	0.72	15.0	14.7	0.30
Chris Kaman	90	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-6	-7	15.0	24.8	-9.83	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Cuttino Mobley	86	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-4	-11	15.6	14.3	1.27	14.6	16.3	-1.63
Elton Brand	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	2	-23	15.9	14.0	1.87	14.8	15.0	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
TOR 99, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIA 107, GSW 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%