inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 111 Excitement7.8 [298] MVPBaron Davis (GSW): +63.9%
Dallas Mavericks 109 Comeback17.0 [45] LVPDerek Fisher (GSW): -10.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Baron Davis0.640,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.640.180.45-0.011876%0.754-0.11978%0.00
Jason Richardson0.370,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.370.160.220.012656%0.3700.005100%0.04
Adonal Foyle-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ike Diogu-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01567%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Andris Biedrins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.040.011260%0.053-0.09667%-0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01833%-0.041-0.032100%0.01
Derek Fisher-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.00839%-0.052-0.062100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.150.070.00779%0.2200.001080%0.02
Jason Terry0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.180.180.110.080.02978%0.1800.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.070.01875%0.1500.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.020.020.06-0.05-0.011471%0.135-0.116100%0.03
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.030.00946%0.031-0.02850%-0.05
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.010.01841%0.0000.001100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.02650%0.043-0.104100%0.03
Josh Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.001738%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.728.816.827.12.429.4132.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +44.3%
GSW +3.0%
GSW +12.5%
DAL -12.0%
GSW +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game15.815.715.6120.7119.8104.4
season14.816.4102.9109.0
opponent15.615.5102.9104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.115.012.420.315.8
DAL13.915.718.315.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Baron Davis80780.75-0.251.010.499-71615.418.0-2.5715.417.8-2.40
Jason Richardson77760.63-0.130.760.3410-81815.616.3-0.6815.317.9-2.58
Derek Fisher57580.63-0.130.760.408-61416.314.81.5016.214.91.22
Troy Murphy78780.58-0.080.650.406-41016.113.62.5015.218.8-3.65
Adonal Foyle36340.56-0.060.620.2710-81814.416.7-2.3017.614.63.04
Mike Dunleavy42430.150.35-0.190.30-57-1216.115.50.6215.715.7-0.08
Zarko Cabarkapa88-0.100.60-0.700.05-57-1214.715.9-1.1120.215.34.97
Andris Biedrins99-0.120.62-0.730.00-46-1014.115.9-1.8313.216.0-2.77
Calbert Cheaney2624-0.290.79-1.070.09-1315-2814.516.3-1.7616.715.41.35
Ike Diogu4747-0.310.81-1.11-0.13-68-1417.114.32.8415.116.3-1.17

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse40410.45-0.951.400.1012-142616.215.30.8715.316.1-0.76
Keith Van Horn27280.17-0.670.85-0.037-91616.115.60.5115.216.0-0.79
Adrian Griffin20210.15-0.650.80-0.098-101817.015.31.7115.415.9-0.43
DeSagana Diop29290.09-0.590.67-0.096-81417.914.73.1513.416.9-3.48
Darrell Armstrong550.08-0.580.66-0.013-5816.015.70.3015.215.8-0.59
Devin Harris48480.07-0.570.65-0.044-61016.415.01.4013.817.9-4.12
Erick Dampier5960-0.580.08-0.65-0.34-86-1414.617.7-3.0416.514.42.08
Marquis Daniels6363-0.580.08-0.66-0.37-75-1214.917.5-2.5316.314.51.82
Jason Terry3839-0.680.18-0.86-0.42-97-1614.816.3-1.5018.313.94.33
Dirk Nowitzki6767-0.680.18-0.87-0.42-97-1615.616.1-0.5016.414.12.25
Josh Howard5959-1.000.50-1.49-0.50-1715-3215.815.60.1415.616.1-0.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 108, NJN 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.76,0.92,091.5%
IND 81, HOU 790.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.69,0.72,090.2%
IND 106, LAC 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.84,090.1%