NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	8.2 [240]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +33.2%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	18.4 [50]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -17.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.05,0.03,-0.04,0.33	0.03	0.32	0.02	26	54%	0.51	6	-0.18	16	81%	0.09
Anderson Varejao	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.08	0.18	-0.00	4	73%	0.27	0	0.00	7	71%	0.08
Ronald Murray	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	9	83%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	11	54%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	16	56%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.07
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	-0.05	0.13	-0.01	12	44%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	67%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.13,0.19,-0.18	-0.18	0.08	-0.21	0.04	24	57%	-0.05	3	-0.13	10	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	32.4	15.4	26.2	2.5	43.6	147.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.6%

CLE +37.2%

NJN -1.6%

NJN -8.3%

NJN -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	116.1	108.5	104.4
season	16.2	15.7		105.6	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	16.4	17.0	13.2	15.5
NJN	16.3	14.9	16.5	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	40	43	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.52	15	-9	24	14.0	16.6	-2.58	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Anderson Varejao	48	51	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.50	14	-8	22	15.4	15.6	-0.16	15.0	15.7	-0.64
Ronald Murray	77	78	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-10	26	15.0	17.6	-2.60	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Drew Gooden	63	65	0.72	-0.23	0.95	0.34	13	-7	20	15.0	16.4	-1.37	15.9	14.0	1.87
LeBron James	85	86	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	1	4	15.5	15.0	0.52	15.6	12.6	2.96
Alan Henderson	12	10	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.08	-12	18	-30	19.2	14.9	4.34	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Larry Hughes	54	55	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.11	-6	12	-18	15.9	14.8	1.12	15.5	15.2	0.30
Damon Jones	41	39	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.12	-7	13	-20	16.6	14.6	2.03	15.6	15.1	0.44
Donyell Marshall	45	43	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.18	-8	14	-22	15.6	15.4	0.16	15.7	15.0	0.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	11	11	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-16	26	14.5	15.4	-0.89	15.8	15.4	0.39
Jacque Vaughn	33	33	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-9	12	14.9	15.6	-0.65	16.8	14.8	1.99
Lamond Murray	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-3	0	14.1	15.5	-1.48	18.1	15.0	3.03
Nenad Krstic	76	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-10	14	15.9	12.9	2.95	15.5	15.5	-0.07
Jason Collins	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	7	-20	14.4	15.6	-1.18	14.7	15.7	-1.03
Clifford Robinson	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-6	6	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Richard Jefferson	87	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	1	-8	15.5	13.4	2.05	15.2	17.9	-2.63
Vince Carter	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	6	-18	15.6	14.7	0.83	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Jason Kidd	83	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	6	-18	15.3	15.9	-0.66	15.3	17.0	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.76,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,0	91.9%
GSW 111, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0	91.5%
HOU 85, CHA 82	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.73,0	91.3%