inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 80 Excitement6.3 [554] MVPMelvin Ely (CHA): +16.5%
Charlotte Bobcats 93 Comeback3.1 [710] LVPRaymond Felton (CHA): -18.3%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02950%0.052-0.062100%0.01
Darius Songaila-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00867%0.084-0.112100%0.01
Jannero Pargo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Luol Deng-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.020.031458%0.084-0.1230%-0.05
Othella Harrington-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00741%-0.021-0.04333%-0.03
Tyson Chandler-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.01370%0.044-0.12425%-0.04
Chris Duhon-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.040.02636%-0.061-0.0320%-0.03
Ben Gordon-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.011432%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.050.011145%-0.033-0.0800%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Melvin Ely0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.090.07-0.011365%0.191-0.02540%-0.04
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.050.08-0.00665%0.1300.005100%0.06
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00664%0.061-0.04250%-0.01
Brevin Knight0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00643%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Kevin Burleson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.020.00333%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.04-0.020.07757%-0.021-0.03786%-0.01
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.021550%0.023-0.08475%-0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.05-0.02812%-0.111-0.0300%0.00
Bernard Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.150.000.011027%-0.054-0.102100%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.19-0.05-0.061425%-0.074-0.114100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.331.515.527.61.033.0137.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI -1.9%
CHA +15.4%
CHA +23.2%
CHA +10.5%
CHA +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHICHANBACHICHANBA
this game13.815.715.683.393.9104.4
season14.414.8102.6100.5
opponent15.416.1104.6102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.113.413.813.913.8
CHA15.914.315.018.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Allen990.09-0.590.67-0.034-172113.713.8-0.1415.215.8-0.54
Michael Sweetney39400.03-0.530.560.001-141514.213.50.6116.015.50.43
Jannero Pargo57-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-11912.213.9-1.6811.716.0-4.31
Luol Deng8182-0.06-0.440.37-0.03-1-121113.614.6-0.9615.815.10.72
Darius Songaila3134-0.09-0.410.33-0.173-161913.713.8-0.1215.315.9-0.60
Kirk Hinrich6063-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-121114.013.50.4717.313.04.23
Othella Harrington89-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-3-713.913.80.0911.116.2-5.07
Chris Duhon7272-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.10-7-6-114.112.81.3315.915.10.83
Ben Gordon5758-0.47-0.03-0.450.02-174-2113.214.7-1.5614.916.9-2.06
Tyson Chandler5759-0.590.09-0.69-0.12-163-1913.614.1-0.5715.316.3-1.06
Andres Nocioni6162-0.640.14-0.77-0.08-196-2514.213.11.0716.214.91.23

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jumaine Jones47450.69-0.190.880.2216-31914.816.6-1.7713.813.8-0.03
Matt Carroll28290.69-0.190.870.1618-52315.215.9-0.6514.613.41.19
Bernard Robinson63610.67-0.170.840.0521-82915.017.1-2.1013.414.5-1.18
Kevin Burleson16150.430.070.360.081211113.716.1-2.4213.013.9-0.94
Melvin Ely63630.340.160.180.2249-517.213.23.9614.013.40.61
Raymond Felton82800.090.41-0.310.01310-715.715.8-0.1313.813.60.28
Primoz Brezec53500.030.47-0.44-0.06310-715.516.0-0.5714.013.60.35
Brevin Knight3028-0.100.60-0.700.04-518-2316.315.50.7913.913.70.14
Keith Bogans4542-0.110.61-0.71-0.11013-1315.815.60.1913.214.2-1.03
Gerald Wallace6867-0.230.73-0.95-0.02-720-2716.314.41.9414.013.40.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 87, NOH 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.92,192.7%
LAL 79, DEN 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.84,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,1,1,192.5%
HOU 90, NJN 990.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,192.5%