NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	4.0 [1030]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +25.9%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.7 [938]		LVP	Damon Jones (CLE): -7.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.06	12	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	21	61%	0.11	4	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	13	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	8	19%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	56%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.27	0.04	0.05	11	90%	0.26	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.04	-0.10	19	40%	0.07	2	-0.02	15	73%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	14	39%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	31.0	17.8	29.1	1.8	34.2	142.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.8%

NJN +11.2%

NJN +3.1%

NJN +14.7%

CLE -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.6	101.1	107.9	104.4
season	16.2	15.7		105.6	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	16.3	15.0	15.9	15.9
NJN	17.2	15.0	16.3	16.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	30	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	15.8	15.9	-0.10	17.9	15.4	2.44
Eric Snow	59	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-18	31	16.4	14.8	1.67	17.2	14.4	2.87
Ira Newble	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	1	-7	12.0	16.4	-4.41	17.5	16.1	1.40
Luke Jackson	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	14.5	15.9	-1.43	9.7	16.6	-6.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-12	19	15.8	16.0	-0.17	17.1	13.5	3.63
Alan Henderson	17	17	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	4	-13	14.1	16.3	-2.23	12.5	17.2	-4.75
Larry Hughes	78	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.47	3	-8	11	15.9	15.7	0.23	16.0	18.1	-2.04
LeBron James	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-3	1	15.1	21.0	-5.92	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Damon Jones	41	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	16	-37	17.4	14.6	2.89	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Donyell Marshall	60	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	4	-13	16.6	14.4	2.20	15.8	17.4	-1.59

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	62	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-5	15	15.9	17.3	-1.36	15.6	16.4	-0.71
Richard Jefferson	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-1	7	16.0	21.0	-4.96	15.7	17.5	-1.75
Jacque Vaughn	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-6	17	16.2	16.5	-0.31	17.1	14.7	2.40
Jason Kidd	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	15.9	17.8	-1.98	15.3	17.8	-2.53
Nenad Krstic	52	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	1	3	16.9	15.4	1.51	15.3	16.7	-1.43
Vince Carter	56	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	7	-9	17.2	14.9	2.28	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Marc Jackson	11	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	0	5	15.0	16.5	-1.50	18.2	15.5	2.64
Scott Padgett	17	18	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	0	5	17.4	16.1	1.36	19.6	14.9	4.68
Lamond Murray	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	16.6	16.3	0.34	16.3	15.8	0.48
Jason Collins	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.45	-16	21	-37	16.3	16.4	-0.09	14.7	16.6	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, SEA 119	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAS 81, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIA 75, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%