NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	106		Excitement	4.0 [969]		MVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): +12.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	119		Comeback	1.9 [1201]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -12.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Washington	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Harold Ellis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Priest Lauderdale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Johnny Newman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.06	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	20	32%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	8	72%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	14	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	75%	0.01	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	57%	0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
James Cotton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	60%	-0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	53%	-0.00	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	40.4	2.6	30.4	16.7	27.1	1.8	29.4	148.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +40.1%

SEA +5.0%

DEN -10.5%

SEA +11.6%

SEA +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.7	13.8	15.6	105.0	117.8	102.5
season	16.2	15.3		96.7	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.2		102.3	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.9	15.4	18.9	11.3	14.7
SEA	14.9	13.4	13.0	13.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	40	42	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.26	17	-30	47	14.3	14.9	-0.57	15.6	12.6	3.00
Harold Ellis	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	8.1	15.8	-7.69	10.3	14.4	-4.11
Kiwane Garris	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	8.3	16.3	-7.91	12.2	14.2	-2.00
Eric Washington	65	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-9	5	13.9	16.2	-2.33	15.4	10.7	4.74
Priest Lauderdale	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	0	-13	22.3	13.5	8.81	9.3	14.5	-5.18
Bobby Jackson	74	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-10	7	15.3	13.1	2.16	12.7	16.5	-3.73
Dean Garrett	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-1	-11	15.0	14.1	0.92	14.6	12.5	2.06
Anthony Goldwire	50	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	1	-15	13.4	15.9	-2.48	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Johnny Newman	46	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.26	-25	12	-37	17.3	12.5	4.80	14.7	13.1	1.60
Danny Fortson	62	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	5	-23	14.8	14.5	0.38	13.7	14.0	-0.29

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Ellis	43	44	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.33	30	-17	47	15.8	12.3	3.47	17.6	12.4	5.18
Detlef Schrempf	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-5	23	13.8	13.9	-0.16	15.4	13.5	1.95
Sam Perkins	40	41	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-4	21	12.7	14.6	-1.90	19.6	11.3	8.28
Gary Payton	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	-5	23	14.2	13.4	0.89	16.8	12.1	4.71
Vin Baker	71	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	9	-5	15.1	10.8	4.25	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Hersey Hawkins	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	9	-5	14.7	12.9	1.87	13.7	15.7	-2.07
David Wingate	34	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	7	-1	12.1	14.7	-2.61	14.4	14.8	-0.47
Aaron Williams	38	41	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	15	-17	13.4	14.1	-0.68	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Greg Anthony	39	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	15	-17	14.6	13.3	1.33	13.4	15.5	-2.12
James Cotton	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	12.2	14.2	-2.00	8.3	16.3	-7.91
Eric Snow	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	21	-29	11.5	14.3	-2.76	7.7	15.9	-8.17
Jim McIlvaine	36	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	23	-33	11.6	15.1	-3.52	12.0	16.2	-4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.1%
WAS 98, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CLE 91, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1	95.3%