NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	6.1 [609]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +10.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.4 [851]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -23.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.15	-0.05	0.09	22	65%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Fred Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	10	68%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	52%	0.11	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	4	67%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	6%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.23	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	11	23%	-0.21	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	4	67%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04	0.04	-0.15	0.13	-0.06	16	33%	0.12	3	-0.08	11	55%	-0.10
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	11	58%	0.02	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.08	-0.14	0.03	12	63%	0.07	1	-0.16	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.6	31.5	17.4	33.5	3.6	38.3	153.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +52.4%

CLE +11.0%

IND -12.7%

IND -2.9%

CLE +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	95.7	100.0	104.4
season	16.0	16.2		102.3	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.6	15.0	15.7	14.7	15.5
CLE	14.1	14.4	17.0	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	4	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	12.0	15.6	-3.64	18.7	15.2	3.58
Danny Granger	62	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.56	15	-20	35	14.8	16.9	-2.13	16.0	13.9	2.16
Jeff Foster	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	2	-9	14.1	15.9	-1.77	13.9	15.7	-1.88
Anthony Johnson	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.1	-1.40	15.6	15.1	0.52
Sarunas Jasikevicius	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	15.7	15.3	0.40	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Fred Jones	56	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-8	11	14.8	16.5	-1.71	16.3	13.8	2.58
Jamaal Tinsley	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-1	-3	15.8	15.1	0.71	15.3	15.4	-0.14
Austin Croshere	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	6	-17	15.6	15.4	0.29	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Stephen Jackson	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	5	-15	16.9	13.2	3.71	14.8	16.2	-1.45
Jermaine O'Neal	80	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	0	-5	16.0	12.1	3.96	15.2	16.2	-0.97

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	45	46	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.52	6	-1	7	14.2	16.3	-2.10	15.6	15.4	0.20
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	51	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.05	21	-16	37	14.0	16.9	-2.88	16.6	14.1	2.58
Larry Hughes	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	15.3	15.4	-0.11	15.9	13.4	2.54
LeBron James	85	84	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	4	-3	15.6	12.7	2.93	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Donyell Marshall	61	59	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.42	-6	11	-17	16.1	13.8	2.36	14.4	17.4	-3.09
Ira Newble	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	0	5	13.6	16.1	-2.49	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Drew Gooden	69	67	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	6	-7	15.9	13.7	2.23	16.6	12.7	3.93
Alan Henderson	5	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	15.8	15.3	0.51	9.0	15.9	-6.93
Damon Jones	49	48	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.17	-1	6	-7	16.3	14.2	2.10	15.1	15.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.57,0.73,1	93.0%
NJN 87, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.75,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.79,0.68,0.72,1	92.9%
ATL 103, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.74,1	92.6%