NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	5.5 [573]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +35.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	1.0 [884]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (LAL): -9.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.27	0.04	0.22	-0.01	15	54%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	13	63%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.08
Kris Humphries	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	15	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	8	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.17,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.24	-0.01	16	73%	0.44	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.02	8	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	20	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	6	33%	-0.02	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	15	54%	0.02	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	28.2	16.6	24.4	2.4	33.8	131.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.9%

NJN -1.9%

LAL +25.8%

NJN -22.7%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAL	NBA	NJN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.3	15.6	96.7	102.2	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		101.3	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	15.7	17.0	14.9	15.8
LAL	13.0	15.7	18.2	19.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	53	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-13	22	14.5	17.7	-3.22	15.8	17.2	-1.37
Sundiata Gaines	23	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	15.9	15.8	0.11	15.7	16.6	-0.89
DeShawn Stevenson	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-9	14	15.4	15.9	-0.52	18.5	15.8	2.70
Johan Petro	40	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	4	-12	17.2	14.7	2.50	15.4	17.1	-1.71
Jordan Williams	27	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	2	-8	14.6	16.4	-1.77	15.9	16.5	-0.62
Gerald Green	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-10	16	14.5	17.6	-3.19	16.4	16.3	0.04
MarShon Brooks	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.09	-12	8	-20	18.7	14.5	4.13	16.2	16.4	-0.18
Kris Humphries	74	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-4	4	15.7	16.3	-0.58	16.5	15.5	1.01
Gerald Wallace	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	0	-4	16.6	11.2	5.38	16.8	13.7	3.11
Deron Williams	59	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	8	-20	15.8	16.0	-0.21	16.5	16.0	0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-3	10	16.2	17.1	-0.96	15.8	16.1	-0.35
Matt Barnes	50	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	15.3	17.7	-2.48	14.5	17.5	-3.04
Pau Gasol	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	2	0	16.4	15.8	0.59	16.1	14.1	2.05
Kobe Bryant	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	3	-2	16.8	15.1	1.68	16.2	14.8	1.38
Josh McRoberts	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-6	16	15.7	17.2	-1.53	16.3	15.2	1.06
Troy Murphy	47	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	6	-8	16.9	15.8	1.11	14.7	17.1	-2.46
Steve Blake	42	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	4	-4	16.0	16.7	-0.70	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Metta World Peace	42	44	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	3	-2	17.7	15.1	2.54	17.6	14.2	3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.75,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.79,0.68,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.67,0.82,1	94.1%
ORL 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.74,1	94.0%
TOR 103, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.79,0.68,0.74,1	93.6%