NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	5.9 [633]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	1.0 [1129]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (DAL): -18.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	8	69%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.05,0.15,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Aaron Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.02	5	70%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	0.01	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	20	41%	-0.06	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.03	15	78%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	8	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	17	55%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	8	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.4	32.8	16.7	25.6	3.5	44.4	150.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.3%

ORL -5.7%

DAL +7.2%

DAL +6.1%

DAL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DAL	NBA	ORL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.4	15.1	100.0	105.9	104.2
season	14.9	14.6		100.4	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	15.2	14.0	12.0	13.9
DAL	13.0	13.6	15.5	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	41	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-12	19	15.1	13.1	1.99	16.3	13.3	3.08
Ben Gordon	27	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-8	11	14.6	13.7	0.85	17.2	13.6	3.68
Andrew Nicholson	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-3	1	19.0	13.2	5.81	16.1	14.2	1.86
Aaron Gordon	29	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-4	3	14.0	13.9	0.10	17.1	13.4	3.63
Channing Frye	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-8	11	13.7	14.2	-0.49	13.9	15.0	-1.06
Luke Ridnour	38	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	14.5	13.6	0.86	14.9	14.2	0.78
Elfrid Payton	88	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	13.8	14.9	-1.16	14.2	16.7	-2.56
Maurice Harkless	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	2	-9	12.9	17.5	-4.61	13.7	17.1	-3.35
Nikola Vucevic	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.12	-12	7	-19	13.1	15.1	-1.99	13.3	16.3	-3.08
Victor Oladipo	81	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	13.9	13.9	0.03	13.6	18.4	-4.80

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	82	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-7	19	13.5	18.5	-4.96	13.8	14.3	-0.49
Devin Harris	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	14.8	14.2	0.62	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	3	-1	14.5	14.4	0.07	13.2	14.8	-1.62
Tyson Chandler	66	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	13.5	16.1	-2.60	14.2	13.4	0.81
Rajon Rondo	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	0	5	13.5	16.1	-2.62	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Chandler Parsons	58	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-1	7	14.4	14.5	-0.12	15.3	12.3	2.99
Jose Juan Barea	31	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	4	-3	15.7	13.9	1.82	13.1	14.3	-1.18
Dirk Nowitzki	60	65	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	4	-3	15.0	13.6	1.37	14.0	13.8	0.23
Richard Jefferson	1	0	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	5	-5	26.0	14.3	11.67	0.0	13.9	-13.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	29	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	6	-7	16.9	13.5	3.39	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	19	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	7	-9	16.0	14.1	1.91	13.3	14.1	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 105, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.74,1	94.7%
GSW 72, MIL 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.91,1	94.6%
OKC 124, DEN 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.84,1	94.3%