NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	6.8 [471]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +15.6%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.6 [952]		LVP	Raja Bell (PHX): -13.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	0.00	7	80%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.01,0	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	16	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	12	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	18	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	19	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	14	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.02	22	51%	0.21	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	24	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.03	8	62%	0.17	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	14	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.09
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.3	30.4	17.8	25.2	3.7	38.0	143.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.0%

PHX -1.9%

DAL +7.7%

DAL +2.7%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.3	15.6	102.1	108.5	104.4
season	13.8	16.4		110.2	109.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	14.9	13.1	16.2	14.3
DAL	15.3	17.9	16.4	15.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-6	6	14.2	14.5	-0.33	18.0	13.4	4.66
Eddie House	38	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	2	-10	14.4	14.3	0.09	14.2	17.7	-3.48
Steve Nash	76	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-6	6	14.4	13.9	0.56	17.1	12.9	4.15
Shawn Marion	83	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	0	-6	13.9	17.6	-3.73	16.0	18.8	-2.85
Boris Diaw	86	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.3	14.4	-0.04	16.2	17.3	-1.12
Jim Jackson	40	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	3	-12	15.4	13.6	1.84	15.2	17.1	-1.95
Raja Bell	90	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-1	-4	14.2	16.5	-2.26	16.3	17.0	-0.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	70	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-8	22	15.4	18.8	-3.35	14.8	13.0	1.74
Jason Terry	80	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	5	-4	17.0	12.1	4.97	14.5	13.7	0.72
Devin Harris	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	2	2	15.3	17.9	-2.62	15.2	12.9	2.32
Dirk Nowitzki	87	87	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	4	-2	16.2	17.7	-1.53	13.9	19.9	-5.96
DeSagana Diop	32	32	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	-2	10	14.0	17.5	-3.48	14.7	14.1	0.57
Marquis Daniels	53	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	-3	12	16.3	16.3	-0.03	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Adrian Griffin	31	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	9	-12	18.0	15.5	2.54	13.6	14.7	-1.04
Erick Dampier	58	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	11	-16	17.8	13.8	4.04	14.4	14.2	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.76,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.99,1	93.0%
UTA 80, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.9%
DEN 111, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	92.8%