inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 101 Excitement6.5 [513] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +29.3%
Charlotte Bobcats 85 Comeback1.7 [493] LVPKenyon Martin (DEN): -17.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.290,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.240.080.031878%0.364-0.071883%0.01
Eduardo Najera0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.050.08-0.02470%0.1400.002100%0.01
Earl Watson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.000.080.021065%0.184-0.1300%0.00
Julius Hodge0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00256%-0.0000.00560%-0.02
Andre Miller-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00861%0.083-0.09250%-0.01
Greg Buckner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.041242%0.024-0.1100%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.080.011443%-0.064-0.12250%-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean May0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.05-0.03665%0.172-0.06887%0.03
Bernard Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.06-0.03862%0.132-0.0400%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.011348%0.051-0.031100%0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00280%0.103-0.13683%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00646%0.022-0.0610%-0.02
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.060.021263%0.054-0.12333%-0.02
Primoz Brezec0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.00850%-0.004-0.0900%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0040%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.02719%-0.062-0.07250%-0.02
Brevin Knight0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.051227%-0.134-0.04250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.61.830.715.824.42.327.7130.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +42.9%
CHA -0.7%
CHA -8.1%
DEN +13.4%
DEN +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHANBADENCHANBA
this game13.815.315.6101.086.7104.4
season14.414.8103.5100.5
opponent15.415.9104.6103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN11.715.413.814.613.8
CHA15.613.416.216.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller78770.70-0.200.890.1718-22014.312.02.3915.415.00.42
Marcus Camby52520.53-0.030.570.151331014.613.01.6615.515.00.54
Carmelo Anthony85830.51-0.010.52-0.0419-32213.415.9-2.4915.712.92.78
Eduardo Najera60590.320.180.14-0.03124812.715.5-2.8415.814.51.37
Earl Watson48460.260.240.03-0.03106414.113.60.5115.215.3-0.09
Greg Buckner46450.180.32-0.140.03511-613.813.80.0115.315.20.09
Francisco Elson30280.180.32-0.15-0.0379-212.714.3-1.6015.515.20.25
Julius Hodge330.000.50-0.500.00016-1610.313.9-3.597.315.5-8.20
Linas Kleiza220.000.50-0.500.00016-164.014.0-10.028.015.4-7.44
Kenyon Martin5655-0.030.53-0.56-0.03016-1615.212.03.2514.616.1-1.48
DerMarr Johnson4040-0.150.65-0.81-0.04-420-2413.514.0-0.4914.815.6-0.78

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Melvin Ely40410.27-0.771.040.048-243214.515.8-1.3712.514.7-2.26
Matt Carroll99-0.09-0.410.330.03-4-12815.415.30.1714.713.70.93
Raymond Felton4242-0.10-0.400.290.07-6-10415.415.20.1213.214.3-1.13
Bernard Robinson5558-0.13-0.370.23-0.07-2-141214.716.0-1.2714.413.01.37
Primoz Brezec4141-0.14-0.360.21-0.05-3-131015.015.5-0.4515.212.92.33
Keith Bogans3131-0.23-0.270.05-0.11-4-12817.114.42.7011.714.8-3.11
Jumaine Jones2423-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-6-417.714.53.2611.014.7-3.72
Kareem Rush6769-0.27-0.23-0.050.08-12-4-814.417.1-2.7014.811.73.11
Brevin Knight7072-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-15-1-1414.417.5-3.1014.212.81.44
Sean May5052-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-160-1615.315.20.1112.814.9-2.07
Emeka Okafor6162-0.710.21-0.92-0.24-160-1616.413.43.0215.011.93.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.36,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 107, MIA 960.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.3,0.2,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,094.3%
NYK 106, ATL 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,092.8%
CLE 97, ATL 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.05,0,0,092.1%