inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 112 Excitement4.1 [1017] MVPChanning Frye (NYK): +19.4%
New York Knicks 92 Comeback1.6 [366] LVPJamal Crawford (NYK): -11.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.220.010.071772%0.1600.00989%0.02
Dan Gadzuric0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.02-0.001367%0.1400.0010%-0.01
Mo Williams0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.02-0.021071%0.151-0.0110%-0.01
Charlie Bell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Toni Kukoc0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01771%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.03-0.04750%0.083-0.07862%0.01
Ervin Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reece Gaines0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00450%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
T.J. Ford-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.051141%0.014-0.0600%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Channing Frye0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.170.01-0.011879%0.223-0.022100%0.01
Eddy Curry0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.02-0.001260%0.101-0.021100%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Qyntel Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerome James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jackie Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03356%0.0210.00333%0.00
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00367%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01736%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.02841%0.013-0.051100%0.01
Nate Robinson0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.041250%0.037-0.12617%-0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.14-0.02-0.0460%-0.092-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.61.831.216.423.62.330.5128.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +26.8%
MIL +4.2%
MIL +11.9%
MIL +4.4%
MIL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILNYKNBAMILNYKNBA
this game16.516.815.6128.7107.0104.4
season15.515.7104.6102.1
opponent15.415.5108.7106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.415.818.815.316.5
NYK17.116.217.216.716.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jiri Welsch51510.50-0.000.51-0.2024-42815.318.2-2.9816.816.70.13
Dan Gadzuric35340.440.060.37-0.031641215.916.9-1.0417.116.60.54
Toni Kukoc34330.400.100.29-0.071641217.116.10.9616.616.9-0.25
T.J. Ford77770.280.220.06-0.13146816.715.11.5916.915.91.01
Michael Redd62610.250.250.01-0.01911-217.513.93.6316.517.6-1.14
Mo Williams49470.250.25-0.010.01812-417.315.51.7417.116.50.60
Charlie Bell15150.210.29-0.07-0.05911-213.217.2-3.9918.116.51.63
Andrew Bogut44450.200.30-0.11-0.271641216.017.0-0.9817.615.91.65
Ervin Johnson660.000.50-0.500.12-424-2814.716.6-1.9813.717.0-3.36
Josh Davis770.000.50-0.500.12-424-2816.016.5-0.5513.417.1-3.66
Reece Gaines770.000.50-0.500.12-424-2816.016.5-0.5513.417.1-3.66
Jamaal Magloire4847-0.030.53-0.56-0.03020-2017.315.51.7516.816.80.04

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddy Curry5353-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-181617.116.40.6918.213.84.45
Trevor Ariza3231-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-6-14816.017.2-1.2114.417.7-3.34
Qyntel Woods1313-0.18-0.320.150.15-11-9-216.616.8-0.2116.616.50.13
Jerome James1413-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-11218.416.51.8711.917.3-5.39
Nate Robinson6367-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-14817.215.71.4916.317.3-1.03
Quentin Richardson3637-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-11217.116.60.5017.116.11.00
Channing Frye7273-0.23-0.270.050.01-8-12416.617.6-1.0217.212.94.35
Jackie Butler1921-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-11214.917.3-2.4315.017.0-2.05
Maurice Taylor1414-0.27-0.23-0.050.08-12-8-417.616.61.0212.917.2-4.35
Stephon Marbury6263-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-7-617.116.01.1017.813.24.61
Jamal Crawford5250-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-15-5-1016.217.6-1.3716.117.1-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 98, LAL 820.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
LAL 108, VAN 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
SAC 122, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%