NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	7.7 [302]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +29.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	3.0 [249]		LVP	Martell Webster (POR): -15.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.12	0.00	18	68%	0.30	0	0.00	5	80%	0.05
Kris Humphries	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	4	80%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.14	0.05	0.10	0.00	10	77%	0.27	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.12	0.00	4	60%	0.19	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Milt Palacio	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	78%	0.12	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	18	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.06
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	73%	0.18	5	-0.17	6	50%	-0.05
Ha Seung-Jin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergei Monia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.06
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	17	49%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	11	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	26.0	15.0	29.8	2.6	35.5	134.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +56.4%

UTA +32.8%

POR -40.1%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.9	16.2	15.6	114.0	105.7	104.4
season	17.0	16.6		101.7	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.0		109.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	15.8	17.2	18.6	16.9
POR	17.2	14.8	14.1	19.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	40	42	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-5	15	16.8	17.0	-0.24	16.4	16.0	0.47
Milt Palacio	37	37	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.52	6	-1	7	17.6	16.4	1.21	17.5	15.2	2.30
Kris Humphries	23	24	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-5	15	16.1	17.2	-1.09	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Mehmet Okur	71	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	17.5	14.3	3.23	16.7	13.9	2.79
Matt Harpring	54	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	0	5	16.6	17.4	-0.81	17.3	14.2	3.04
Andrei Kirilenko	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	17.5	15.9	1.61	15.1	17.8	-2.70
Greg Ostertag	22	25	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-2	9	17.0	16.9	0.15	17.9	15.5	2.43
Deron Williams	49	51	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.17	-1	6	-7	16.4	17.6	-1.21	15.2	17.5	-2.30
Gordan Giricek	49	49	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.10	-4	9	-13	16.8	17.2	-0.41	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Jarron Collins	32	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.08	-8	13	-21	16.1	17.4	-1.33	14.8	16.9	-2.12

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	53	55	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-9	13	17.3	14.5	2.86	17.6	15.7	1.86
Sebastian Telfair	55	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-14	23	17.3	14.4	2.91	17.1	16.5	0.60
Travis Outlaw	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.4	16.3	-0.94	12.6	17.6	-4.92
Ha Seung-Jin	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-2	-1	14.7	16.4	-1.75	13.6	17.5	-3.91
Joel Przybilla	63	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-8	11	16.4	15.6	0.81	17.6	15.4	2.21
Sergei Monia	17	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	1	-7	18.8	15.6	3.20	15.1	17.3	-2.26
Ruben Patterson	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-9	13	15.6	17.1	-1.48	17.1	16.7	0.32
Viktor Khryapa	34	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	14.7	17.1	-2.36	17.3	16.7	0.61
Zach Randolph	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-5	5	17.0	13.2	3.79	17.6	14.5	3.07
Jarrett Jack	33	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	9	-23	14.4	17.3	-2.91	16.5	17.1	-0.60
Juan Dixon	40	39	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.30	-15	10	-25	14.5	17.5	-2.99	16.4	17.4	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, BKN 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.32,0.02,0	91.1%
MEM 88, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.04,0	90.7%
HOU 69, OKC 65	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,0	90.7%