NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	88		Excitement	5.6 [710]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +23.9%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	1.0 [1295]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -14.7%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.15	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	18	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	23%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
J.R. Smith	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	52%	0.02	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
David West	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	10	37%	-0.09	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	25%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.07	0.03	17	70%	0.24	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	11	77%	0.18	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	63%	0.14	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	5	25%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	27.4	16.4	27.6	2.6	27.0	128.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.3%

DAL +6.6%

DAL +4.9%

NOK -5.8%

DAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	DAL	NBA	NOK	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.6	98.9	107.8	104.4
season	16.3	16.4		101.2	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	17.6	14.2	15.6	18.9	16.4
DAL	18.4	15.8	13.2	16.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	37	38	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.41	18	-27	45	14.9	17.4	-2.50	16.4	15.3	1.02
Kirk Snyder	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	13.3	16.5	-3.18	16.3	15.8	0.57
Arvydas Macijauskas	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	13.3	16.5	-3.18	16.3	15.8	0.57
Rasual Butler	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-10	11	16.8	16.1	0.70	16.1	15.6	0.50
Speedy Claxton	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-6	3	15.9	17.5	-1.65	15.9	15.6	0.33
Desmond Mason	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	15.9	17.4	-1.56	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Chris Paul	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.15	-16	7	-23	16.1	17.6	-1.54	15.8	15.7	0.09
David West	65	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	5	-19	16.8	15.3	1.47	15.3	17.0	-1.72
P.J. Brown	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.10	-24	15	-39	17.0	15.1	1.86	16.2	14.8	1.44
J.R. Smith	50	51	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.14	-17	8	-25	18.0	14.3	3.73	15.2	16.5	-1.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	66	65	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.14	18	-9	27	15.6	16.3	-0.70	16.8	15.4	1.41
Jason Terry	71	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-14	37	15.0	18.7	-3.68	16.6	15.4	1.23
DeSagana Diop	50	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-7	23	15.4	16.3	-0.89	15.1	18.0	-2.87
Dirk Nowitzki	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-2	13	16.3	14.8	1.52	17.2	14.9	2.25
Marquis Daniels	56	56	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	-1	11	17.0	13.8	3.24	17.2	15.1	2.04
Devin Harris	55	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	9	-9	15.0	17.0	-1.95	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Erick Dampier	37	38	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	8	-7	16.3	15.4	0.84	18.3	15.0	3.34
Keith Van Horn	49	48	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.31	-10	19	-29	15.9	15.6	0.26	14.8	18.2	-3.41
Josh Powell	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	17	-25	16.3	15.8	0.57	13.3	16.5	-3.18
DJ Mbenga	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	17	-25	16.3	15.8	0.57	13.3	16.5	-3.18
Rawle Marshall	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	17	-25	16.3	15.8	0.57	13.3	16.5	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%
UTA 106, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.57,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
HOU 79, LAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.96,1	93.1%