inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 81 Excitement6.0 [615] MVPRodney Rogers (BOS): +16.5%
Boston Celtics 89 Comeback1.0 [1124] LVPShareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -15.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Strickland0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.070.00771%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Cal Bowdler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.02-0.011348%-0.0100.005100%0.04
Hanno Mottola-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ira Newble-0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.001057%0.012-0.053100%0.01
Leon Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00546%-0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Toni Kukoc-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01636%-0.032-0.06250%-0.02
Nazr Mohammed-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.03-0.01719%-0.1000.00250%-0.01
DerMarr Johnson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.17-0.03-0.091334%-0.034-0.07683%0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.150,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.17-0.02-0.042035%-0.083-0.07667%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.070.06-0.031966%0.254-0.0900%0.00
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.030.00275%0.0600.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.05-0.03961%0.154-0.0900%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.00567%0.082-0.062100%0.02
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.02-0.06350%0.043-0.032100%0.02
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00750%0.0000.002100%0.01
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02437%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.030.001263%0.084-0.11367%-0.01
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02729%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011020%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.425.814.825.22.822.4114.8
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +65.4%
ATL -6.3%
BOS +5.2%
ATL -11.9%
ATL -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLBOSNBAATLBOSNBA
this game15.814.915.686.294.7102.3
season15.515.099.7100.9
opponent15.715.298.8103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.016.015.915.215.8
BOS12.814.016.916.114.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hanno Mottola12110.02-0.520.53-0.042-101216.315.70.6416.214.71.50
Cal Bowdler1010-0.11-0.390.29-0.110-8813.516.0-2.5516.314.71.61
Toni Kukoc3534-0.11-0.390.29-0.193-111414.416.6-2.2416.513.92.52
Nazr Mohammed4142-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-2-416.115.50.5313.515.9-2.42
Leon Smith3837-0.18-0.320.15-0.211-91015.615.9-0.3316.214.02.23
Mark Strickland3233-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-4016.515.41.0513.915.4-1.42
Ira Newble8080-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.23-5-3-215.517.3-1.7715.013.81.26
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7475-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-102-1215.815.70.1014.416.8-2.42
DerMarr Johnson5454-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-135-1816.914.32.5314.415.5-1.11
Jacque Vaughn9494-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-815.80.015.7814.90.014.86

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter McCarty62630.440.060.380.3535-215.114.50.6015.716.0-0.33
Erick Strickland55570.420.080.350.4208-814.914.80.1615.516.1-0.59
Rodney Rogers81780.420.080.340.169-11014.715.9-1.2316.213.92.29
Tony Delk35350.320.180.140.1753214.814.9-0.1014.716.4-1.74
Mark Blount37350.310.190.120.2526-414.615.0-0.3515.416.0-0.60
Kedrick Brown16160.240.26-0.030.1826-417.114.42.6514.416.1-1.61
Kenny Anderson37360.150.35-0.20-0.1410-21214.315.2-0.9316.515.31.13
Tony Battie41410.110.39-0.28-0.0762414.215.4-1.1815.915.70.18
Eric Williams35350.070.43-0.36-0.1062414.715.0-0.3315.715.8-0.19
Vitaly Potapenko20230.060.44-0.390.11-210-1216.314.51.8315.315.9-0.68
Paul Pierce5151-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-19-1014.814.9-0.0416.714.62.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 100, SAC 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,193.9%
BOS 77, IND 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,193.8%
NOK 88, DAL 970.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,193.7%