inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 89 Excitement8.6 [187] MVPJarvis Hayes (WAS): +13.4%
Washington Wizards 96 Comeback2.9 [709] LVPAntonio Daniels (WAS): -22.3%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juan Dixon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.01-0.01-0.06859%0.183-0.131100%0.01
Joel Przybilla0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.02,0.030.040.010.011261%0.142-0.12425%-0.05
Ha Seung-Jin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Darius Miles-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.090.001464%0.094-0.14560%-0.03
Travis Outlaw-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.00540%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Sergei Monia-0.100,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.040.01736%-0.042-0.0700%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.150,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.080.011540%-0.092-0.05560%-0.00
Zach Randolph-0.220,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22-0.10-0.13-0.001842%-0.074-0.152100%0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.130.130.040.07-0.021152%0.1300.003100%0.01
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.130.130.050.090.001960%0.285-0.15989%0.06
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01954%0.051-0.03650%-0.02
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.030.011950%0.084-0.092100%0.01
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.01825%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.0030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.14-0.031733%-0.122-0.102100%0.02
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.12-0.100.00517%-0.113-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.027.015.427.41.735.0135.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR -11.9%
WAS +19.1%
WAS +13.5%
WAS +29.3%
POR -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORWASNBAPORWASNBA
this game15.613.115.688.196.0104.4
season16.615.199.4107.4
opponent15.615.7105.5109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR13.715.616.317.015.6
WAS14.012.712.513.013.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake109-0.01-0.490.470.01-1-6517.015.41.5713.213.00.18
Juan Dixon6059-0.01-0.490.470.01-1-6515.515.7-0.1313.113.1-0.02
Sergei Monia3736-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-6515.015.9-0.9612.313.5-1.14
Ha Seung-Jin97-0.17-0.330.150.15-114-1512.415.9-3.4510.313.3-2.98
Darius Miles8181-0.21-0.290.07-0.272-91115.814.61.1613.511.22.35
Sebastian Telfair8685-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.425-121715.217.9-2.6813.311.51.87
Jarrett Jack1413-0.28-0.22-0.070.13-147-2114.115.8-1.7612.413.2-0.78
Zach Randolph8990-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.341-8916.112.13.9713.211.61.62
Joel Przybilla8587-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.513-101315.814.21.5913.311.51.84
Travis Outlaw4139-0.770.27-1.05-0.16-2114-3515.016.0-1.0212.013.7-1.70

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarvis Hayes52540.57-0.070.630.0717-102712.114.1-2.0115.515.6-0.10
Brendan Haywood66670.450.050.390.3343113.212.90.3115.116.5-1.34
Gilbert Arenas79780.330.170.170.2725-313.113.00.1415.516.0-0.54
Antonio Daniels46440.330.170.160.1270713.213.00.2116.514.81.70
Jared Jeffries59580.310.190.130.34-18-913.113.00.1015.915.10.86
Chucky Atkins29310.240.26-0.020.008-1912.313.4-1.0116.115.40.74
Antawn Jamison73770.180.32-0.130.21-18-913.412.01.4015.117.2-2.08
Etan Thomas33340.050.45-0.39-0.0434-112.913.1-0.2316.515.11.34
Caron Butler63620.040.46-0.430.15-411-1513.612.21.3415.116.3-1.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.83,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 100, MEM 1050.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.64,0.91,0.96,192.2%
ATL 92, NYK 960.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.95,0.95,191.8%
SAS 79, PHX 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,191.4%