inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 120 Excitement16.5 [4] MVPChucky Atkins (WAS): +36.4%
Detroit Pistons 114 Comeback5.2 [177] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -52.1%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.190.180.0110100%0.401-0.0400%0.00
Caron Butler0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.05,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.270.110.180.021664%0.372-0.111090%0.07
Etan Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Michael Ruffin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.00639%-0.0400.00650%-0.02
Gilbert Arenas-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.12,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.14,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06-0.01-0.050.003247%0.023-0.081989%0.23
Jarvis Hayes-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.11-0.0150%-0.181-0.0200%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.310,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.1,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.31-0.09-0.210.012242%-0.164-0.15989%0.04

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.360.36-0.000.360.00745%0.411-0.06650%-0.35
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.38,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.020.002853%0.201-0.10683%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.050.050.020.02-0.01650%0.0500.002100%0.01
Carlos Delfino00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.01743%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00756%0.012-0.04450%-0.10
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.10-0.220.032140%-0.223-0.131100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.4,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.011533%-0.084-0.283100%0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.46,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52-0.52-0.06-0.460.001747%-0.274-0.251191%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.11.830.217.431.62.835.22.517.51.523.5189.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.81.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -21.0%
WAS +46.0%
DET -11.9%
WAS +43.6%
DET -6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDETNBAWASDETNBA
this game15.217.515.6113.2106.5104.4
season15.116.9107.4108.3
opponent15.815.6101.4105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS14.715.413.717.623.015.9
DET22.515.217.616.717.417.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries66670.74-0.240.990.3015-92414.216.8-2.6718.116.41.68
Gilbert Arenas981000.58-0.080.660.2312-61815.018.0-3.0417.517.40.05
Brendan Haywood62640.53-0.030.570.0915-92416.014.01.9519.314.84.49
Caron Butler73740.400.100.290.3424-215.913.62.3016.320.2-3.91
Antawn Jamison1031040.350.150.200.3215-415.116.7-1.5217.325.0-7.74
Jarvis Hayes37380.140.36-0.210.0342213.516.1-2.5319.516.43.10
Michael Ruffin31290.070.43-0.370.21-511-1613.316.0-2.6813.818.8-5.05
Etan Thomas1314-0.050.55-0.600.07-410-1415.815.10.7516.917.6-0.71
Antonio Daniels87-0.080.58-0.660.09-612-1818.015.03.0417.417.5-0.05
Chucky Atkins3938-0.180.68-0.87-0.07-410-1417.214.03.2317.317.6-0.25

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess52500.36-0.861.220.138-142215.519.4-3.9214.615.7-1.15
Maurice Evans49480.08-0.580.67-0.2411-172815.918.8-2.9515.714.70.99
Carlos Arroyo39370.02-0.520.54-0.104-101416.817.9-1.1114.615.5-0.95
Carlos Delfino33-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-788.017.7-9.751.315.6-14.26
Rasheed Wallace104103-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.37-1-5417.325.0-7.7415.119.3-4.27
Tayshaun Prince101101-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.31-60-617.517.30.1515.018.8-3.79
Chauncey Billups6869-0.520.02-0.54-0.23-104-1417.916.81.1115.514.60.95
Richard Hamilton6463-0.600.10-0.69-0.10-1711-2818.715.73.0115.115.4-0.31
Ben Wallace5556-0.960.46-1.42-0.37-2014-3420.314.55.8316.713.53.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.83,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.2,0.37,0.15,0.13,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.16,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 110, NYK 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.22,0,086.2%
DAL 92, UTA 900.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.4,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.42,086.1%
DEN 102, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.24,0.15,085.8%