NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	7.9 [276]		MVP	Evan Turner (PHI): +19.8%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	3.1 [210]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -11.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.08	0.04	22	69%	0.26	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
James Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	11	75%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	21	42%	0.15	2	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.04	-0.00	18	41%	0.03	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	9	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	16	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Pablo Prigioni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	12	67%	0.11	5	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.06	-0.12	0.06	23	57%	0.03	3	-0.15	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	33.6	18.4	28.4	2.6	39.4	151.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.6%

NYK -3.0%

PHI +15.6%

NYK -0.5%

PHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.1	113.4	110.4	105.2
season	13.7	16.0		98.4	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.0		107.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.7	14.3	16.5	13.7	14.2
NYK	15.0	17.8	14.8	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	75	78	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.39	18	-14	32	14.0	15.0	-1.03	16.2	12.9	3.27
Michael Carter-Williams	73	73	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.40	17	-13	30	13.9	15.2	-1.22	16.4	13.0	3.48
Evan Turner	81	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-1	6	14.1	15.2	-1.13	15.9	14.2	1.66
James Anderson	74	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-5	14	13.9	15.4	-1.50	16.3	13.2	3.09
Lavoy Allen	51	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	10	-16	14.5	14.0	0.55	14.2	16.9	-2.75
Spencer Hawes	46	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-6	16	14.0	14.5	-0.55	16.9	14.2	2.75
Hollis Thompson	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	7	-10	14.4	14.2	0.25	13.4	16.4	-3.00
Lorenzo Brown	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	16.4	14.1	2.27	13.3	15.8	-2.42
Elliot Williams	31	29	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.01	-15	19	-34	15.3	13.7	1.58	13.2	16.7	-3.48
Dewayne Dedmon	21	17	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.04	-14	18	-32	15.8	13.8	1.93	13.2	16.1	-2.88

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	33	32	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.09	12	-16	28	15.7	15.6	0.10	14.7	14.0	0.70
Andrea Bargnani	59	58	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.17	4	-8	12	15.0	16.5	-1.52	14.8	13.5	1.31
Pablo Prigioni	37	37	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.14	5	-9	14	14.5	16.3	-1.77	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Jeremy Tyler	7	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	17.7	15.4	2.28	14.6	14.2	0.39
J.R. Smith	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-10	16	15.3	16.2	-0.91	14.4	13.9	0.50
Tyson Chandler	71	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	3	-10	15.7	15.4	0.33	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Carmelo Anthony	81	82	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.54	-8	4	-12	15.9	14.3	1.59	13.9	16.3	-2.47
Raymond Felton	59	60	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.53	-9	5	-14	16.3	14.5	1.77	14.3	14.1	0.18
Iman Shumpert	66	68	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.45	-19	15	-34	15.8	15.3	0.49	14.0	14.9	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.22,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.54,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.17,0	91.4%
NJN 103, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0	91.4%
DAL 94, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.16,0.01,0	91.2%