NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	7.3 [355]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +23.3%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	3.2 [261]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -14.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	24	59%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	14	70%	0.27	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Ed O'Bannon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Yinka Dare	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	18	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Lloyd Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	18	34%	-0.11	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	15	67%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Will Perdue	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	76%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.12
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	11	48%	-0.03	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.12	0.01	10	69%	0.04	4	-0.17	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.6	25.2	15.4	24.6	2.3	32.5	122.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +2.3%

NJN +13.6%

NJN +27.2%

NJN +10.8%

SAS -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	17.4	16.7	15.6	122.6	111.8	104.4
season	15.4	16.8		101.7	100.8
opponent	15.4	14.9		109.4	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.6	20.5	18.2	16.7	17.4
SAS	18.1	17.4	16.9	14.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	77	77	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.29	17	-9	26	17.5	15.3	2.26	17.4	10.4	7.01
Tony Massenburg	53	53	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.25	16	-8	24	17.8	16.5	1.28	17.3	15.7	1.57
Jayson Williams	73	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	1	6	17.5	16.3	1.25	16.7	16.7	0.00
Khalid Reeves	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	1	6	18.4	13.1	5.39	17.6	13.1	4.51
Kerry Kittles	71	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	5	-2	17.5	16.8	0.70	16.5	17.8	-1.29
Yinka Dare	19	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	10	-12	15.6	17.9	-2.23	14.1	17.4	-3.32
Lloyd Daniels	24	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	9	-10	16.7	17.6	-0.97	15.2	17.3	-2.11
Ed O'Bannon	36	37	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	15	-22	15.1	19.1	-4.03	15.5	17.7	-2.20

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anderson	21	20	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-14	20	14.4	17.5	-3.06	15.8	17.8	-1.98
Monty Williams	22	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.11	0	-8	8	16.8	16.7	0.12	13.9	18.6	-4.67
Carl Herrera	27	26	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-9	10	17.7	16.3	1.48	20.2	16.1	4.05
Cory Alexander	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-7	6	15.6	16.8	-1.22	16.4	17.5	-1.09
Vinny Del Negro	47	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-6	4	15.5	18.3	-2.82	15.5	19.7	-4.24
Avery Johnson	70	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	16.9	16.1	0.72	18.5	12.6	5.92
Dominique Wilkins	54	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	1	-10	16.9	16.4	0.49	15.4	21.1	-5.72
Sean Elliott	65	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	2	-12	16.5	17.5	-1.07	17.9	15.6	2.23
Vernon Maxwell	49	48	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	2	-12	17.2	16.1	1.07	18.5	15.8	2.67
Will Perdue	62	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	4	-16	17.7	14.0	3.74	18.6	14.2	4.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.1,0	92.3%
HOU 83, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	91.8%
MEM 93, MIL 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.02,0	91.8%