NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	5.1 [813]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +12.6%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.1 [1202]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -15.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.06	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Taft	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	19	48%	0.01	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.04	-0.06	19	29%	-0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	17	58%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	15	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	59%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	27.2	15.3	26.6	2.6	28.3	128.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.5%

PHX +3.3%

PHX +1.5%

PHX +8.6%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.6	86.9	102.0	104.4
season	14.8	13.8		102.9	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.8	11.8	14.7	17.6	15.4
PHX	11.5	15.8	12.5	15.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	46	47	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	13.1	17.4	-4.27	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Monta Ellis	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-16	17	11.5	15.9	-4.41	10.8	14.1	-3.28
Zarko Cabarkapa	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-13	11	15.5	15.4	0.14	17.0	13.3	3.65
Chris Taft	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-10	5	17.0	15.3	1.71	11.8	13.8	-2.01
Aaron Miles	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-10	5	19.2	14.7	4.47	15.1	13.5	1.66
Adonal Foyle	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-6	-3	21.4	14.8	6.53	10.1	14.0	-3.85
Derek Fisher	74	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-15	15	14.4	18.4	-4.05	14.3	11.9	2.43
Troy Murphy	71	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-3	-9	15.5	15.1	0.37	14.0	13.0	0.97
Mike Dunleavy	31	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	17.6	14.4	3.21	12.6	14.2	-1.60
Baron Davis	82	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	14.9	17.6	-2.67	13.5	14.6	-1.05
Jason Richardson	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-2	-11	15.7	14.2	1.54	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Mickael Pietrus	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	-3	-9	16.1	13.8	2.31	14.1	13.0	1.06

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	91	90	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-1	17	13.6	15.1	-1.53	15.6	13.4	2.12
Leandro Barbosa	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-3	21	13.7	13.9	-0.23	15.9	13.4	2.47
Raja Bell	84	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	4	7	13.6	14.6	-1.04	15.1	16.9	-1.84
Steve Nash	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	3	9	13.5	14.4	-0.88	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Boris Diaw	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	7	1	15.4	11.3	4.06	15.7	14.9	0.71
James Jones	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	12	-9	13.3	14.2	-0.95	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Eddie House	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	12	-9	14.2	13.6	0.61	16.1	15.2	0.97
Kurt Thomas	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	11	-7	12.6	14.3	-1.73	14.9	15.6	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 75, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
LAC 84, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%