inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 104 Excitement5.2 [781] MVPKarl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +27.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves 119 Comeback1.0 [906] LVPBojan Bogdanovic (WAS): -14.1%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.00564%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Jason Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01958%0.041-0.021100%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00167%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Bradley Beal0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.002144%0.0000.003100%0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sheldon McClellan0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.010.002100%0.084-0.091100%0.01
Otto Porter Jr.-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.011246%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Wall-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.04-0.021653%0.084-0.121974%-0.02
Brandon Jennings-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00333%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.06-0.040.041144%-0.073-0.075100%0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.270.080.082671%0.2700.003100%0.01
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.140.030.03789%0.1500.00475%-0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.01875%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01243%0.0200.003100%0.01
Ricky Rubio0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.001565%0.146-0.144100%0.01
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.020.02671%0.053-0.082100%0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.020.011542%-0.011-0.02667%-0.02
Kris Dunn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01617%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.81.631.315.425.62.532.6133.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +56.4%
WAS -8.0%
MIN +1.1%
WAS -0.0%
MIN +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMINNBAWASMINNBA
this game13.015.114.8101.0116.7107.7
season14.415.3109.9109.3
opponent14.714.9110.2108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.911.414.312.813.0
MIN15.513.814.516.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tomas Satoransky11100.01-0.510.52-0.114-192311.713.2-1.4715.515.00.48
Kelly Oubre Jr.210.00-0.500.50-0.031-16178.513.1-4.6322.015.07.00
Sheldon McClellan210.00-0.500.50-0.031-16178.513.1-4.6322.015.07.00
Brandon Jennings3534-0.02-0.480.46-0.289-243312.413.4-0.9215.015.1-0.06
Bojan Bogdanovic5455-0.03-0.470.44-0.216-212712.313.9-1.6015.314.70.60
Ian Mahinmi4848-0.06-0.440.38-0.3811-263712.013.9-1.9515.115.00.15
Jason Smith1817-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-141311.013.5-2.4716.914.72.18
Marcin Gortat4848-0.42-0.08-0.340.20-216-2714.311.92.4214.315.8-1.51
Otto Porter Jr.6765-0.44-0.06-0.370.27-249-3313.811.62.1914.715.7-0.95
John Wall8079-0.44-0.06-0.390.14-205-2513.112.70.5015.314.11.21
Markieff Morris7071-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-183-2113.512.11.4415.015.2-0.13
Bradley Beal8081-0.550.05-0.590.13-238-3113.411.91.5114.816.2-1.47

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush67680.480.020.46-0.2525-103515.214.70.5013.611.91.70
Andrew Wiggins83820.470.030.44-0.1220-52515.314.21.1213.013.1-0.13
Ricky Rubio83820.470.030.44-0.1220-52515.314.21.1213.013.1-0.13
Nemanja Bjelica61620.430.070.35-0.0717-21915.015.2-0.2513.013.2-0.22
Gorgui Dieng68680.310.190.120.0596315.115.1-0.0313.412.31.05
Karl-Anthony Towns75760.260.240.030.15411-715.214.80.3512.813.7-0.95
Tyus Jones19210.030.47-0.440.18-520-2514.215.3-1.1213.113.00.13
Kris Dunn19210.030.47-0.440.18-520-2514.215.3-1.1213.113.00.13
Shabazz Muhammad35350.020.48-0.460.31-1025-3514.715.2-0.5011.913.6-1.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 75, MIL 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,195.1%
GSW 86, PHX 1010.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.97,0.98,1,1,194.8%
LAC 93, PHI 1080.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.7%