NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Excitement	3.7 [1033]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +6.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	1.0 [1012]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): -9.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.06	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03
Danny Ferry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Bobby Phills	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Terrell Brandon	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	17	36%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	74%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	63%	0.06	5	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	17	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	23.4	15.5	27.2	2.0	25.0	121.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +21.8%

MIL +20.3%

MIL +4.6%

MIL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.6	87.2	108.2	104.4
season	17.8	16.0		102.1	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		106.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.9	15.4	16.0	14.3	16.3
MIL	16.1	17.4	17.5	18.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	29	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-25	33	15.1	16.9	-1.79	17.4	17.4	0.00
Carl Thomas	7	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-19	21	17.0	16.3	0.73	18.5	17.2	1.25
Reggie Geary	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-17	17	17.7	16.3	1.39	13.7	17.5	-3.83
Antonio Lang	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.07	1	-18	19	14.5	17.6	-3.05	17.7	17.2	0.52
Danny Ferry	66	66	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-20	23	15.2	20.0	-4.85	17.3	17.7	-0.48
Bob Sura	45	43	-0.24	-0.25	0.02	0.02	-9	-8	-1	15.5	17.2	-1.66	16.9	17.9	-1.02
Bobby Phills	56	55	-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-8	-1	17.4	14.3	3.06	17.9	16.4	1.44
Chris Mills	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-2	-13	17.4	15.1	2.34	17.4	17.3	0.17
Terrell Brandon	61	61	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	0.15	-18	1	-19	15.8	17.6	-1.85	17.3	17.5	-0.25
Mark West	21	21	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	0.24	-23	6	-29	20.2	15.1	5.11	17.2	17.4	-0.17
Tyrone Hill	61	59	-0.54	0.05	-0.59	0.19	-25	8	-33	17.0	14.7	2.32	17.3	17.5	-0.25

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	56	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.22	24	-7	31	16.7	18.7	-2.01	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Vin Baker	66	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-3	23	17.0	18.7	-1.77	16.7	14.9	1.82
Glenn Robinson	75	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-3	23	16.8	21.6	-4.80	16.2	17.6	-1.37
Ray Allen	33	34	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.31	22	-5	27	17.5	17.3	0.15	16.3	16.3	-0.00
Armen Gilliam	51	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.33	-3	20	-23	17.0	18.0	-1.01	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Johnny Newman	59	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	15	-13	17.4	17.3	0.14	15.3	18.8	-3.50
David Wood	25	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	18	-19	19.0	16.7	2.32	16.2	16.4	-0.16
Elliot Perry	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	24	-31	18.7	16.7	2.01	16.5	16.2	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, DEN 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAC 84, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 104, DAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%