NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	1.7 [506]		MVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): +12.2%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	3.2 [218]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -18.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	10	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	61%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	19	48%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.05	0.07	12	47%	-0.06	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.08
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	15	39%	0.02	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	11	32%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	40.0	1.8	26.3	16.2	27.9	2.0	30.2	144.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.5%

PHX +0.3%

UTA -28.8%

PHX +37.6%

UTA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	12.6	17.9	15.6	102.1	93.6	104.4
season	13.8	17.0		110.2	101.7
opponent	15.0	16.1		104.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	13.0	11.3	14.0	12.6
UTA	20.2	19.1	15.3	17.3	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	46	44	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.12	22	-13	35	11.8	13.4	-1.67	18.2	17.6	0.64
Boris Diaw	55	54	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-7	23	12.7	12.6	0.07	18.1	17.6	0.50
James Jones	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	1	7	13.0	12.0	0.98	18.4	16.8	1.59
Jim Jackson	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	1	7	12.5	12.7	-0.25	17.7	17.9	-0.23
Shawn Marion	81	81	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	10	-11	13.0	10.8	2.18	17.3	21.4	-4.09
Eddie House	20	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	4	1	10.6	13.2	-2.52	18.6	17.7	0.91
Brian Grant	17	15	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	2	5	11.5	12.9	-1.36	21.1	17.2	3.89
Raja Bell	53	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	17	-25	13.1	12.1	0.98	18.0	17.7	0.23
Steve Nash	66	65	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	17	-25	13.2	11.4	1.82	16.9	20.0	-3.04
Kurt Thomas	40	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	12.5	12.7	-0.20	17.4	18.2	-0.76

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	21	23	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-12	15	18.9	17.6	1.28	12.6	12.7	-0.10
Greg Ostertag	3	2	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-11	13	27.3	17.5	9.78	14.0	12.6	1.39
Gordan Giricek	71	73	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-14	19	16.8	21.0	-4.15	12.8	12.1	0.72
Keith McLeod	44	45	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-10	11	17.5	18.1	-0.59	12.3	13.0	-0.71
Devin Brown	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-7	5	18.9	17.3	1.65	13.2	12.3	0.88
Andrei Kirilenko	79	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-9	9	17.9	17.4	0.55	13.0	10.5	2.58
Mehmet Okur	75	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-11	13	17.3	20.3	-3.01	13.1	11.0	2.02
Jarron Collins	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	7	-23	18.5	17.5	0.91	11.0	13.5	-2.52
Milt Palacio	17	16	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	18.7	17.7	1.03	11.2	12.9	-1.67
Deron Williams	49	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	3	-15	18.2	17.5	0.63	13.2	12.0	1.20
Matt Harpring	44	45	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.06	-23	14	-37	17.7	18.0	-0.38	11.9	13.3	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.16,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.03,0.09,0.09,0	93.4%
TOR 100, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	93.1%
SAS 102, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.05,0,0	93.0%