NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	1.9 [415]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +16.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Comeback	3.7 [194]		LVP	Anthony Carter (MIN): -9.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	7	71%	0.21	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.07	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	34	41%	0.07	0	0.00	17	71%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	68%	0.13	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.16	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.02	29	51%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	18	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.01	12	62%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.8	31.3	16.4	25.5	2.5	43.3	148.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.6%

CLE +1.4%

CLE +21.1%

MIN -16.3%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.5	15.6	106.6	100.0	104.4
season	16.2	16.1		105.6	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	16.9	18.6	16.7	17.1
MIN	15.4	13.8	15.0	13.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	65	65	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.18	22	-16	38	16.4	18.9	-2.44	14.1	15.4	-1.28
LeBron James	87	86	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-4	14	16.9	22.7	-5.86	14.8	10.2	4.56
Anderson Varejao	38	37	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-9	24	16.3	17.8	-1.47	13.4	15.3	-1.94
Donyell Marshall	68	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-5	16	17.3	16.7	0.60	14.7	14.0	0.63
Sasha Pavlovic	74	76	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	8	-10	17.0	17.8	-0.84	14.3	15.7	-1.47
Drew Gooden	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	12	-18	18.1	16.7	1.32	16.7	13.6	3.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	10	-14	18.0	14.6	3.45	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Eric Snow	29	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	20	-34	17.1	17.1	-0.01	13.7	14.9	-1.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	35	34	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-13	20	15.3	14.0	1.31	18.1	16.6	1.46
Justin Reed	14	16	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-10	14	11.8	15.0	-3.21	19.3	16.7	2.63
Eddie Griffin	13	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-7	8	11.2	15.1	-3.91	18.8	16.9	1.99
Mark Madsen	48	49	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.38	14	-20	34	15.1	13.8	1.27	18.5	15.6	2.92
Rashad McCants	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	0	-6	13.4	14.7	-1.30	9.3	18.2	-8.95
Ricky Davis	83	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-6	6	14.3	17.1	-2.87	17.6	12.0	5.64
Mark Blount	25	24	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	10	-26	15.6	14.1	1.56	15.5	17.7	-2.17
Trenton Hassell	82	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	3	-12	15.0	10.0	5.00	16.9	19.0	-2.09
Kevin Garnett	87	87	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	4	-14	14.9	6.5	8.37	16.9	22.2	-5.34
Marcus Banks	57	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	9	-24	13.8	15.8	-2.01	16.6	18.1	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.03,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.16,0.04,0,0	93.4%
SAS 104, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.26,0.45,0.21,0.1,0.08,0	92.2%
TOR 100, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	91.4%