inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 90 Excitement5.1 [811] MVPAustin Croshere (IND): +16.4%
Orlando Magic 78 Comeback1.6 [391] LVPDeShawn Stevenson (ORL): -10.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Croshere0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.150.030.02794%0.1600.003100%0.01
David Harrison0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0.050,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.001459%0.103-0.05475%-0.00
Metta World Peace0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04-0.020.04-0.021443%0.061-0.02967%-0.03
Jonathan Bender0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Granger0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00367%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Samaki Walker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.02550%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.040.01945%-0.041-0.03250%-0.02
Fred Jones-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.02458%0.014-0.094100%0.01
Stephen Jackson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.01933%-0.071-0.0300%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00757%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021164%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.000100%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Tony Battie0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00440%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.011045%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.02943%-0.032-0.021060%-0.01
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00333%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.030.021445%-0.003-0.10560%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.050.031346%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.330.517.527.82.635.4142.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +35.6%
IND +0.6%
ORL -1.2%
IND +12.4%
IND +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game17.117.215.6107.192.9104.4
season16.016.4102.3104.4
opponent15.715.5105.9100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND17.416.316.118.617.1
ORL13.918.020.816.417.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace70670.60-0.100.700.1017-52217.017.9-0.9718.113.44.78
Jamaal Tinsley53510.420.080.350.0114-21617.217.00.1918.115.72.42
Austin Croshere50480.420.080.330.091111016.817.6-0.8918.615.33.31
Jermaine O'Neal64640.410.090.320.2175217.216.90.2917.715.32.45
Stephen Jackson62620.250.250.000.0866016.818.0-1.1317.316.90.35
Fred Jones37400.150.35-0.190.0448-418.216.22.0115.418.7-3.32
David Harrison18190.100.40-0.300.0139-617.317.10.2015.717.6-1.85
Sarunas Jasikevicius33340.060.44-0.370.12-214-1616.817.3-0.5515.418.3-2.90
Jonathan Bender15150.040.46-0.42-0.02210-816.717.2-0.5516.417.3-0.93
Danny Granger17190.040.46-0.430.09-214-1617.617.00.5914.717.9-3.21
Samaki Walker110.000.50-0.500.00012-1222.017.14.947.017.3-10.29

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw4241-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-111015.818.5-2.7618.316.02.29
Jameer Nelson3941-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-9616.218.0-1.7518.515.82.63
Pat Garrity2423-0.20-0.300.11-0.08-4-8415.717.7-1.9816.817.2-0.40
Dwight Howard4949-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-8417.416.80.6818.015.82.21
Kelvin Cato3231-0.28-0.23-0.05-0.04-8-4-417.017.3-0.2715.618.0-2.39
Tony Battie3030-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.08-7-5-218.916.22.7515.518.0-2.57
Hedo Turkoglu6465-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-9-3-618.114.14.0317.017.5-0.53
Steve Francis6868-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.13-9-3-617.416.01.4417.615.22.39
DeShawn Stevenson7272-0.43-0.07-0.370.01-153-1817.018.2-1.2616.222.8-6.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 97, ORL 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.3%
LAL 99, POR 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.2%
CHH 98, DET 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,094.2%