NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	82		Excitement	6.1 [641]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +8.4%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	1.1 [1105]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (SAC): -25.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	23	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	14	52%	0.08	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	72%	0.08	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	0	25%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06
Cuttino Mobley	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.09	0.00	15	13%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	80%	0.10	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	-0.05	5	53%	0.01	5	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	12	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	26.3	15.4	26.4	2.4	35.4	132.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.1%

SAC -1.8%

UTA +6.1%

SAC -0.4%

SAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	17.5	15.5	92.1	103.4	104.0
season	14.7	16.7		108.1	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	15.3	14.9	13.9	14.9
UTA	18.0	18.1	17.8	16.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	21	22	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-17	24	16.5	14.4	2.16	19.3	16.9	2.38
Greg Ostertag	27	27	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.12	6	-16	22	16.3	14.2	2.09	18.6	17.0	1.65
Maurice Evans	29	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-14	18	15.8	14.4	1.31	17.7	17.4	0.34
Kevin Martin	22	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-9	8	16.4	14.4	2.04	17.5	17.5	0.09
Darius Songaila	49	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-10	10	14.9	14.8	0.09	16.7	18.5	-1.82
Brian Skinner	46	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	14.6	15.2	-0.55	18.3	16.7	1.61
Cuttino Mobley	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	14.5	15.9	-1.37	17.7	16.8	0.94
Corliss Williamson	59	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	6	-22	14.1	16.5	-2.45	17.1	18.2	-1.07
Mike Bibby	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	7	-24	14.4	16.5	-2.16	16.9	19.3	-2.38
Kenny Thomas	59	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.07	-18	8	-26	14.6	15.4	-0.79	17.0	18.5	-1.48

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-7	24	17.0	19.1	-2.14	14.1	17.0	-2.92
Mehmet Okur	72	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-7	24	17.3	18.2	-0.86	14.6	15.8	-1.16
Jarron Collins	53	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	2	6	17.9	16.9	0.95	15.5	13.9	1.66
Keith McLeod	43	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	1	8	17.8	17.2	0.64	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Gordan Giricek	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	6	-2	18.0	15.1	2.95	15.2	13.3	1.86
Howard Eisley	12	12	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	4	2	17.1	17.5	-0.46	13.0	15.2	-2.17
Kris Humphries	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	11	-12	16.9	18.1	-1.25	14.1	15.8	-1.72
Kirk Snyder	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	17.4	17.5	-0.15	15.6	14.4	1.23
Randy Livingston	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	15	-20	17.2	17.7	-0.45	16.3	14.0	2.27
Ben Handlogten	6	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	14	-18	20.7	17.3	3.41	18.3	14.6	3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, NOH 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	94.6%
MIL 97, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
POR 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.2%