inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 114 Excitement5.0 [857] MVPChris Duhon (CHI): +37.0%
Atlanta Hawks 105 Comeback16.7 [30] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -25.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Duhon0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.370.310.100.049133%0.3700.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.060.12-0.031067%0.231-0.024100%0.03
Tyson Chandler0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.00471%0.0600.006100%0.03
Othella Harrington0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01755%0.0100.00683%0.01
Adrian Griffin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Reiner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Eric Piatkowski-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02150%-0.0110.002100%0.01
Antonio Davis-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.021150%0.032-0.04475%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.030.011553%-0.011-0.03683%-0.01
Jannero Pargo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011845%0.002-0.042100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.01-0.061360%0.1500.004100%0.02
Jason Collier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.06-0.00671%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.000.02978%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.010.06593%0.0500.00475%-0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.01-0.011255%0.051-0.045100%0.03
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01944%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00140%-0.021-0.0430%-0.04
Josh Childress0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.020.031550%-0.042-0.04475%-0.01
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.25-0.05-0.041223%-0.145-0.11650%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.829.90.326.21.732.4116.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +35.5%
CHI +4.3%
ATL -3.8%
CHI +15.6%
ATL -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIATLNBACHIATLNBA
this game14.716.115.5121.3112.9104.0
season15.115.6100.198.1
opponent15.115.4108.198.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.414.013.814.814.7
ATL15.616.717.015.216.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyson Chandler60600.77-0.271.050.1621-123314.814.50.3516.615.11.54
Chris Duhon55540.75-0.251.000.0524-153914.115.6-1.4416.715.31.43
Andres Nocioni75730.67-0.170.85-0.0023-143714.714.9-0.2117.211.95.27
Ben Gordon43430.430.070.360.2272515.514.11.4115.616.5-0.94
Othella Harrington49500.420.080.340.2463314.115.4-1.2617.015.11.89
Antonio Davis67660.140.36-0.21-0.0363315.213.61.6415.916.6-0.77
Kirk Hinrich65640.140.36-0.220.0827-516.012.03.9916.515.21.33
Jared Reiner330.000.50-0.500.06-211-134.015.1-11.088.716.3-7.67
Adrian Griffin77-0.110.61-0.710.04-514-1912.614.9-2.339.616.6-7.04
Jannero Pargo2222-0.320.82-1.140.06-1322-3512.515.4-2.8415.416.3-0.89
Eric Piatkowski2423-0.400.90-1.300.30-2433-5715.114.60.4811.817.5-5.72

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Royal Ivey13130.02-0.520.55-0.011-101113.516.5-3.0513.215.0-1.82
Kevin Willis5051-0.14-0.360.210.09-8-1-717.714.23.4914.714.8-0.12
Josh Smith7878-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-101115.817.3-1.4914.416.2-1.84
Josh Childress7780-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-8716.116.1-0.0514.814.50.26
Tyronn Lue6464-0.18-0.320.130.20-134-1717.413.24.1814.714.70.08
Tony Delk5554-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.415-141914.518.3-3.8115.813.32.43
Boris Diaw2930-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.476-152113.217.4-4.1814.714.7-0.08
Tom Gugliotta4951-0.33-0.17-0.150.23-1910-2917.314.72.6714.415.1-0.72
Michael Stewart2726-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.17-6-3-316.316.00.3516.014.21.76
Jason Collier2323-0.630.13-0.76-0.31-112-1315.716.2-0.5813.515.1-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.83,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.71,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 93, MIA 720.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.2%
PHX 106, SAS 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,093.0%
DAL 91, ATL 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,092.8%