NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	4.4 [970]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (ORL): +11.6%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	1.1 [1177]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -7.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	58%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.02	10	61%	0.04	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.02	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	77%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	13	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.05	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Brandon Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	23	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	15	52%	0.03	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	15	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	479.3	2.4	27.5	16.7	28.1	2.3	26.4	582.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -6.3%

ORL +13.2%

ORL +17.3%

ORL +26.5%

TOR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.1	15.5	96.0	106.9	104.0
season	15.1	14.3		104.8	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.3	12.5	13.8	12.6	13.5
ORL	13.5	14.6	15.0	17.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	10	12	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-17	22	15.2	13.4	1.84	15.7	15.0	0.73
Pape Sow	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	15.5	13.5	2.00	15.3	15.1	0.23
Eric Williams	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-6	0	13.1	13.7	-0.61	15.1	15.1	0.01
Milt Palacio	35	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-8	4	12.4	14.1	-1.71	15.7	14.8	0.95
Rafael Araujo	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-2	-8	15.3	13.0	2.36	13.4	15.6	-2.22
Matt Bonner	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-6	0	13.0	14.0	-0.98	16.3	14.0	2.29
Jalen Rose	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	13.6	13.5	0.04	14.2	16.4	-2.22
Rafer Alston	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	13.9	12.8	1.06	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Chris Bosh	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	-12	0	-12	14.2	11.6	2.65	15.1	15.2	-0.20
Morris Peterson	86	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-6	0	13.5	14.0	-0.53	15.1	15.4	-0.37
Donyell Marshall	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-5	-2	12.7	15.1	-2.45	15.6	14.2	1.42

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	58	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-9	30	14.1	16.4	-2.28	13.8	13.1	0.78
Grant Hill	84	84	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-6	24	14.9	16.1	-1.21	13.7	12.5	1.24
Dwight Howard	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-2	16	15.1	15.2	-0.15	13.9	12.9	1.00
Steve Francis	89	89	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	5	2	15.1	15.2	-0.07	13.8	11.6	2.14
Pat Garrity	42	42	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	8	-4	16.3	14.3	2.01	14.0	13.2	0.75
DeShawn Stevenson	81	79	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	7	-2	15.3	14.3	1.01	13.2	15.0	-1.79
Stacey Augmon	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	7	-2	15.4	15.0	0.35	13.5	13.6	-0.06
Mark Jones	18	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	11	-10	14.8	15.2	-0.40	13.2	13.6	-0.46
Brandon Hunter	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	13	-14	16.0	15.0	0.96	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Tony Battie	28	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.22	-14	26	-40	15.2	15.1	0.20	11.3	14.3	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 83, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NOH 76, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 86, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%