NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	76		Excitement	3.6 [1105]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +10.4%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.1 [1172]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (NOH): -15.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corsley Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	16	47%	-0.01	6	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	11	18%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	13	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	0.7	29.2	15.7	25.7	1.8	25.2	124.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.2%

DET +7.7%

DET +11.8%

DET +5.4%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DET	NBA	NOH	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	17.1	15.5	91.6	107.1	104.0
season	16.5	16.7		97.7	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.0	19.0	16.6	18.1	17.4
DET	16.0	16.0	16.1	20.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	11.2	17.8	-6.58	21.7	16.8	4.91
Corsley Edwards	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	11.2	17.8	-6.58	21.7	16.8	4.91
Bostjan Nachbar	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-14	14	17.4	17.4	0.02	18.7	15.7	3.01
Chris Andersen	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	18.6	16.4	2.20	18.0	16.4	1.55
P.J. Brown	50	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-7	0	16.7	18.5	-1.82	15.8	19.2	-3.36
Dan Dickau	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-8	2	17.7	16.8	0.88	18.0	15.7	2.37
Baron Davis	70	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-3	-8	17.3	17.8	-0.45	16.9	18.0	-1.06
J.R. Smith	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	17.1	17.7	-0.60	16.3	18.1	-1.73
Lee Nailon	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	4	-22	17.8	16.7	1.10	17.0	17.3	-0.35
Rodney Rogers	64	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.05	-21	7	-28	17.9	15.8	2.07	15.9	20.9	-4.98

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	59	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	0	14	17.4	16.5	0.89	17.7	16.5	1.14
Rasheed Wallace	55	54	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	2	10	16.9	17.5	-0.57	17.4	17.4	-0.04
Tayshaun Prince	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-3	20	16.7	18.0	-1.35	17.6	16.9	0.67
Richard Hamilton	69	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.22	21	-7	28	15.7	23.5	-7.82	17.9	15.4	2.49
Antonio McDyess	37	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	3	8	18.1	16.3	1.84	18.7	16.3	2.44
Ben Wallace	65	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	-1	16	16.0	21.1	-5.10	17.6	16.7	0.84
Lindsey Hunter	31	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	10	-6	18.0	16.6	1.36	17.2	17.5	-0.26
Ronald Dupree	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	17	-20	17.8	16.8	0.99	16.9	17.6	-0.67
Darvin Ham	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	21.7	16.8	4.91	11.2	17.8	-6.58
Darko Milicic	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	21.7	16.8	4.91	11.2	17.8	-6.58
Anthony Goldwire	9	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	25	-36	23.1	16.4	6.72	12.8	18.0	-5.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
TOR 96, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIA 87, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%