NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	6.1 [639]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +14.2%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	3.0 [735]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -12.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	20	63%	0.21	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	13	45%	-0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.04	0.05	10	59%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	0.05	14	43%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.02	18	73%	0.22	5	-0.08	9	78%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	74%	0.14	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	14	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	28.8	17.0	26.1	3.3	33.4	134.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +19.0%

GSW +21.9%

GSW +11.6%

GSW +0.3%

NYK -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	15.5	106.4	113.7	104.0
season	15.8	15.0		103.9	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		104.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	19.8	16.9	13.5	16.3
GSW	16.5	12.3	13.8	14.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	33	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-10	12	16.8	16.1	0.68	15.5	13.4	2.03
Jerome Williams	2	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	24.5	16.1	8.36	3.0	14.4	-11.41
Trevor Ariza	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	19.0	15.7	3.27	12.3	14.5	-2.23
Jamal Crawford	72	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-9	10	16.4	15.9	0.54	14.5	13.2	1.28
Kurt Thomas	65	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-8	8	15.3	18.5	-3.18	14.9	12.3	2.56
Jermaine Jackson	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-4	0	16.0	16.5	-0.52	13.7	14.4	-0.69
Tim Thomas	63	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	16.1	16.8	-0.73	13.7	15.2	-1.56
Maurice Taylor	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-2	-4	17.3	15.3	1.94	14.7	13.6	1.06
Malik Rose	52	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	1	-10	16.0	16.7	-0.67	13.1	15.4	-2.31
Stephon Marbury	88	90	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	1	-10	16.0	20.7	-4.64	14.3	11.8	2.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	77	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	14.1	14.5	-0.41	15.7	18.9	-3.23
Mike Dunleavy	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-2	12	15.1	12.4	2.67	17.0	15.0	2.05
Mickael Pietrus	43	44	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	2	4	14.1	14.2	-0.10	17.4	15.4	2.01
Derek Fisher	57	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	3	2	12.5	16.7	-4.19	16.2	16.5	-0.37
Troy Murphy	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	14.5	13.0	1.51	15.7	18.0	-2.34
Adonal Foyle	51	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	7	-6	14.2	14.2	-0.02	15.3	17.4	-2.07
Jason Richardson	75	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	7	-6	14.7	12.1	2.62	16.3	16.2	0.14
Andris Biedrins	14	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	4	0	14.0	14.2	-0.20	16.7	16.2	0.49
Zarko Cabarkapa	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	8	-8	12.9	14.5	-1.54	18.1	15.8	2.26
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	5	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	11	-14	15.2	14.1	1.09	18.8	16.1	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
MIA 69, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.97,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 91, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	93.9%