NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	5.7 [665]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +13.4%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	3.0 [695]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -24.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	57%	0.09	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	15	51%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.22	-0.06	-0.03	11	29%	-0.13	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	12	65%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.05	20	54%	0.10	4	-0.08	14	100%	0.08
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	65%	0.11	5	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	27.6	15.5	24.0	1.7	34.2	129.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +7.6%

DET +17.7%

DET +24.3%

DET +1.1%

CLE -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.6	101.1	111.0	102.3
season	15.8	15.7		102.6	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.3	18.6	16.4	15.5	16.3
DET	13.5	15.0	19.6	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	26	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-15	20	18.1	15.6	2.49	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Brian Skinner	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	18.3	15.5	2.79	19.3	13.9	5.41
Ricky Davis	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-10	10	16.4	16.3	0.04	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-8	6	16.8	15.7	1.12	16.4	14.5	1.84
Chris Mihm	35	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	17.0	15.9	1.07	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Wesley Person	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	15.9	19.8	-3.89	15.2	18.1	-2.92
Jumaine Jones	63	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	2	-14	15.5	18.3	-2.79	13.9	19.3	-5.41
Andre Miller	67	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	3	-16	15.9	17.5	-1.58	15.7	14.7	1.06
Lamond Murray	67	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	4	-18	15.9	17.8	-1.93	15.7	14.8	0.88

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	64	65	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-6	22	16.0	14.4	1.58	16.9	15.0	1.86
Chucky Atkins	59	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-2	14	15.4	15.7	-0.31	15.4	18.1	-2.67
Clifford Robinson	81	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-6	22	14.9	19.9	-4.96	15.8	20.5	-4.67
Jerry Stackhouse	79	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.17	13	-3	16	15.3	16.9	-1.65	16.3	16.6	-0.33
Corliss Williamson	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-1	12	15.0	15.9	-0.91	17.3	15.4	1.93
Michael Curry	52	51	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	16	-22	16.2	14.5	1.65	15.7	17.2	-1.43
Jon Barry	12	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	16.9	15.3	1.65	16.6	16.3	0.33
Dana Barros	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	12	-14	15.7	15.4	0.31	18.1	15.4	2.67
Zeljko Rebraca	31	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	17	-24	15.4	15.5	-0.10	16.2	16.4	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
NOK 86, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
LAL 107, PHX 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%