NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	6.2 [594]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (PHX): +26.3%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	2.9 [648]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -11.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcelo Huertas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	14	58%	0.12	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.03	-0.05	18	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	13	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	14	43%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.07	-0.00	8	106%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.09	0.05	15	65%	0.21	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	19	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.02	22	58%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	9	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	13	37%	-0.07	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	30.2	16.2	26.5	2.3	29.6	132.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +58.7%

LAL -12.0%

PHX +13.2%

LAL -7.3%

LAL -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	14.2	14.9	107.0	120.2	105.1
season	15.2	14.4		100.1	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.5		107.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	16.3	16.6	12.4	14.8
PHX	17.5	13.0	11.6	14.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	41	41	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.25	13	-25	38	13.5	15.7	-2.21	14.5	13.9	0.53
Larry Nance Jr.	35	34	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.11	8	-20	28	14.9	14.7	0.15	15.5	13.5	2.01
Marcelo Huertas	31	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-16	20	14.2	15.0	-0.82	15.2	13.7	1.54
Lou Williams	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-9	6	13.5	15.7	-2.18	14.5	13.9	0.56
Brandon Bass	52	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-9	6	13.7	15.9	-2.17	14.7	13.6	1.11
Roy Hibbert	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	15.9	13.7	2.17	13.6	14.7	-1.11
D'Angelo Russell	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	15.0	14.4	0.58	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Jordan Clarkson	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	2	-16	15.7	13.2	2.46	13.5	15.2	-1.74
Kobe Bryant	58	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	11	-34	15.6	13.6	2.02	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Julius Randle	66	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.02	-22	10	-32	14.8	14.8	0.04	13.7	15.2	-1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	75	74	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.04	21	-9	30	13.9	14.8	-0.84	15.0	14.2	0.81
Devin Booker	85	86	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.01	22	-10	32	14.3	13.5	0.76	15.0	13.6	1.33
PJ Tucker	90	91	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-4	20	13.9	16.6	-2.64	14.4	18.3	-3.89
Jon Leuer	87	88	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-3	18	13.9	16.1	-2.20	14.6	16.5	-1.94
Mirza Teletovic	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	8	-4	14.5	13.8	0.73	15.2	14.4	0.81
Alex Len	59	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	7	-2	14.2	14.0	0.21	14.8	14.8	0.02
Chase Budinger	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	16	-20	16.6	13.9	2.64	18.3	14.4	3.89
John Jenkins	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.16	-10	22	-32	13.5	14.3	-0.76	13.6	15.0	-1.33
Ronnie Price	24	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.11	-9	21	-30	14.8	13.9	0.84	14.2	15.0	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%
NYK 100, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
DET 87, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%